Active vs. Passive Investing: Make Higher Returns With Less Headache?

Can you make the same returns as active real estate (if not more) with “passive” real estate investing? What if you’ve got a busy day job, hobbies you want to pursue, or don’t have the landlording drive to build a rental property portfolio? Well, passive income investing might be just what you need. How do you know you’re the right fit for it, and what kind of real estate investments are the most passive? We’re giving you what you need to get started.

We’ve got two active and passive real estate investors, Devon Kennard (former NFL player!) and Kathy Fettke, on the show to break down the differences between active and passive real estate investing. We’ll discuss who should invest in each type and whether it’s worth it to stay at your job and invest passively on the side. Plus, we’re all sharing our favorite active and passive investments that we’re putting our money into today.

But how much of a return can you make when you’re investing passively, doing less of the work? We’re giving you real return numbers from some of our passive income sources so you can know what to expect when putting your money to work.

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Listen to the Podcast Here

Read the Transcript Here

Dave:
Real estate investing is a grind. We love it, sure, but it’s definitely a grind. Finding deals, negotiating with sellers, vetting tenants, preparing properties, it all adds up to a lot of time and effort to generate the cashflow that you want and need. But there’s another way to invest in real estate, passive investing. That can be as simple as putting your money in a fund or a syndication, forgetting about it for a while, and then collecting a return later. But of course, there are trade-offs with this approach. You can’t just do that and expect the same types of returns that someone who’s working really hard on their investments every single day are going to generate. It really is a spectrum or a continuum of different opportunities for investors. Some things super active and can generate high returns. Other things are super passive. You basically do to nothing, but you’re going to give up some returns today. We’re going to get into this and break down everything you need to understand about those trade-offs. We’re going to talk about the pros and cons of active versus passive investing and why each strategy might be right for you.

Dave:
What’s up everyone? It’s Dave. Today’s Wednesday, meaning that we are doing our deep dish episode, and for today’s discussion about passive versus active investing, I’m bringing on two investors with a wealth of knowledge on both sides of this debate. First, we have Kathy Ficke, who is my friend and co-host on the market podcast. She’s been investing across the spectrum of passive and active investing for many, many years. And Devon Kenard who invests both actively and in dozens of different syndications and is growing a passive lending business right now. So it’s going to be a great conversation and I think you’re going to learn a lot about where you might want to fall along this active passive spectrum. In the conversation, we’re going to be talking about what types of investors benefit from passive investing and who is a better fit for more active types of strategies. We’ll also talk about why many investors choose to transition from active investing to passive investing over the course of their real estate investing careers. And we’ll discuss how passive investing can sometimes mean both less headaches and higher returns. That and much more with Kathy and Devon. So let’s bring ’em on. Devon Kenard, welcome to the BiggerPockets podcast. Thanks for joining us.

Devon:
Thanks for having me.

Dave:
Yeah, it’s going to be a fun show. Kathy Fettke, thanks for being here as well.

Kathy:
Thanks for having us here. This is fun.

Dave:
Well, we’re here of course, to talk about active versus passive investing and from my understanding, you both do a little bit of each, as do I. But before we get into sort of the debates, the pros and cons, let’s just set the stage and help people understand the spectrum of passive versus active investing that we’re talking about. So Kathy, I’ll just start with you. How would you define active investing?

Kathy:
Active investing means you’re actively doing stuff. You’re involved in it maybe fixing and flipping and wholesaling. Being a real estate agent. These are all things that require your time.

Dave:
Alright, and then Devon, could you tell us what passive investing means in your world?

Devon:
Yeah, I would say I consider passive very individual based on how much time you’re willing to put into it. So I think you got to kind of determine, for me, while I was playing in the NFL, my rule was five hours. I had five committed hours that I can devote to real estate and that was my definition of passive. And today I have more time on my hands. So I still consider myself a majority passive investor, but I’m willing to put more time into it. So maybe that’s more like 20 hours a week. I consider both of them passive, but depending on where I was at in my life kind of dictated what that looked like.

Dave:
That’s a great point because it really is a spectrum. There’s not these two buckets where you place some investments into the passive bucket and some in the active bucket, even certain types of investing, it can fall along this continuum, but even certain deals can sort of vary over the course of your ownership of that deal, how active or passive they could be. Just as an example, I’ve had a house hack where I did some works and upgrades on it myself. That was pretty active. I moved out of the country. I have a property manager managing it now. I do pretty much nothing with that property. So there’s not like long-term rental is active and multifamily is passive. That’s not really how it works. It’s sort of this broad spectrum and we will get into this just in a minute, just where certain things fall. But Devon, from my understanding, you started when you were still playing in the NFL very on the passive end of the spectrum. Where are you now that you have 20 hours to invest, what types of deals are you doing and what are your more active types of deals?

Devon:
Yeah, I would say my more active activity is probably in my private lending company, but more or less, I’m reading Scaling Smart now from Kathy and Rich, but more or less how to build the infrastructure so it can remain what I consider to be passive now. But I would say that’s more of my active activity with my portfolio of properties. I own 29 units now. I still consider that relatively passive. I’m going through a Sixplex renovation in Tampa, Florida right now, and I have boots on the ground there that manage the day to day and I get to spend limited time on making sure everything is going on and going according to plan, but it’s still fairly passive to me. So I still consider myself a passive investor, but it goes back to I am spending more time than I was while I was playing though

Dave:
I love that you’re planning ahead to keep something passive because that is, I feel like that’s just such a common story in real estate. We’re like, oh, I started this passive business and now I’m working 65 hours a week on what was supposed to be my retirement job. So we’ll get to that later, but planning ahead is obviously a good way to keep it more passive. What about you, Kathy? You do a little bit of everything. How would you describe your portfolio these days on this spectrum?

Kathy:
Well, when it comes to rental properties, as we talked about last time I was on the show, I like to buy newer properties that require very little of my work and my time. The active part is actively finding the right market, actively finding the right property manager and then buying something newer in a growth market so that I just don’t have repairs to worry about for the most part, have a good experience property manager in place and it’s pretty darn passive. Also because my husband does the accounting, so super passive for me.

Dave:
That’s another good strategy for key afis. Passive is just pawn it off on your significant other.

Kathy:
Absolutely. But then also syndications are typically a passive way to invest and we do invest in other people’s syndications, but I’m also a syndicator and as the gp, the general partner, I’m very active, those projects that is absolutely active, but I’m also an investor in it, so I’m passive in it too. So syndicators could be both in the same deal.

Dave:
So it sounds like you both are at least somewhat similar to how I do it. It’s just a combination of passive and active investing and a lot of times people introduce themselves, I’m an active investor, I’m a passive investor. But I think over time to grow and to scale, you have to do a little bit of both because if you’re active in every deal, you just can’t do that many deals. There’s just only so much time in the day. So you have to figure out the right balance and that’s what we’re going to be talking about in today’s show. Before we move on and talk about how to create that balance, I just want to sort of different strategies because the ones that are active I think are a little more obvious to people. Anything that’s owner occupied, like a house hack, a live and flip, pretty much any kind of flipping it is kind of pretty active.

Dave:
And then short-term rentals, long-term rentals. If you’re self-managing, at least I consider all of those sort of on the active side of the spectrum. On the passive side, there are a couple ones that we don’t really talk about on the show like REITs, which are publicly traded, real estate investment trusts. That’s as passive as it gets because you could open a trading app, buy a stock and a real estate trust and do absolutely nothing. You could do that. Kathy and Devon both talked about syndication, so you can invest with another investor, you can do funds which is similar to a syndication. You could buy notes like Devon does. Or the other one I would say is turnkey rental property investing. So where someone buys a property for you. So that’s sort of the most passive side. And then I guess if you have a rental property or a short-term rental, but you have a full-time property manager that’s like, what is that? Right in the middle of the spectrum I guess. Right in the middle, yeah. Yeah. Okay. So that’s the midpoint. So hopefully that helps frame this conversation. So Kathy, I’ll start with you. Who is passive investing for

Kathy:
Someone like Devon when he was playing football? Oh man, the hours he’s explained to me before, it is just nonstop. So busy professionals who have a career that they love and they’re making plenty of money in it and they don’t want to shift into another job that happens to be real estate. There’s a lot of confusion about that. People think the only way to invest in real estate is to flip homes when actually that’s a different way to have a job, not necessarily investing.

Dave:
That is exactly what it is. I haven’t flipped a home because I already got a job. There’s other ways to invest in real estate. So was that your experience, Devon? Did you know you wanted to invest in real estate and you then picked a type of real estate investing that matched your lifestyle? Or were you just looking for places to put your money while you had a full-time job?

Devon:
It was very much kind of find an investment strategy within real estate that fit my lifestyle. There’s a lot of people who will say, you can’t invest passively. Real estate’s an active business and all that. And I just never really believed in that notion. For me, it was either figure out how to do it passively or don’t do it at all, and being in a career that I knew was going to end, I’m like, I have to figure out how to do it. So I just looked at it from a lens of how do I invest in a way that I can still have my time, but I can grow a real estate portfolio?

Dave:
Well, you clearly did that, which is quite impressive.

Kathy:
Another person who’s ideal for passive investing is maybe somebody who lives in a high priced market like me. Many people who live in California just have a hard time making the numbers work. Definitely for regular rentals, short-term rentals can be a little bit better, but again, that’s a little bit more active. If you’re managing it, you’d have to find a property manager for that and that can be a bigger cut for short term, they take a lot more. So if you live in an expensive market, you almost are forced to be passive because that’s how we started. We’re like, oh, we can’t make the numbers work here. We’re going to have to invest somewhere else. We chose Dallas, Texas. That was a three hour flight from us, so we had to learn how to rely on other people.

Dave:
That totally makes sense. And I realize now we titled the show like active versus passing, and now we’re just talking up all the benefits of passive investing. But Tavan, tell me what are the trade offs? Because there obviously there’s no right answer here, but so what are some of the downsides of passive investing?

Devon:
Well, I’ll say the first thing. It’s hard to invest passively if you don’t have any capital and active investors, their kind of advantage is they can trade time for money. I can do this flip cheaper instead of hiring a contractor, I’m going to do the work. All of this stuff, when you’re investing passively, you have to have some level of capital. Now that doesn’t necessarily always mean it has to be your own capital, depending on what you’re doing. Maybe you can raise capital, maybe you can use the banks, but you’re going to have to be able to have some kind of financial savviness or savings, something to invest. So that’s one negative. If you want to invest truly passive, it’s hard to do if you don’t have access to capital. And another thing is depending on the strategy, the returns may not be as big.

Devon:
For instance, our good friend James Danner, he might flip a property and he’s looking at the margins that he can make on that flip. I’m not going to make those same margins if I go to flip because I’m going to hire a GC to handle the whole thing and then they’re going to probably upcharge me and I don’t know the price of things, so I’m not going to grind them down the way James can. So me and James could buy the exact same property and the numbers could look completely different and I can almost guarantee his will look better because he’s more active. So I think depending on your strategy, your return may not be as high and you do need some level of capital or access to it.

Dave:
That’s a very good point. I think that’s why Devon, we probably see so many people start active. I think that a very common trajectory for investors is starting active. And then once you have capital and once you know the game well enough that you can vet operators and people to invest with, then you move more passive over time. At least. I actually put this in my book. I obviously made a graph of it. I love making graphs and I’m a weirdo, but it was just showing most people start at a hundred percent active investments and then aspire to at some point in their career. For me it’s like 15, 20 years in to get to a hundred percent passive investing. And you sort of do that transition over time. We got to take a break, but first a heads up, if you’re enjoying this conversation and want to learn more about passive investing, be sure to subscribe to the Passive Real Estate Investing podcast on YouTube or any podcast platform. It’s BiggerPockets newest podcast. Kathy was actually recently a guest on that show too. And every week host Jim Pfeiffer will talk about strategy, wealth building and risk management specifically for syndications and other types of passive investments. That’s the Passive Real Estate investing podcast. Go check it out. All right, we’ll be right back after a few ads.

Dave:
Welcome back to the show. Here’s more with Devon and Kathy. So I know everyone says this. People who are very active, like disparaged passive investors and be like, oh, the margin’s not so good. There is truth to that, but I’m going to challenge that wisdom a little bit because it’s only true if you really know what you’re doing. So for example, in my investing career, the things I quote buy actively by direct small, multifamily, single family homes are things that don’t require a lot of rehab or renovation because I just don’t have that skill. So I will take money that I want to put to value add investing, and I’ll give it to a syndicator or I’ll put it into a fund because yeah, I’m giving up a couple percentage points to that syndicator, but if I did that myself, I would lose 20%. I don’t know how to do that. And so I think people are like, oh, it’s not the maximize return, but when you look at yourself as an individual, could you really get that return? Because for me, giving it to someone who knows what they’re doing, I’m still getting a better return because I’m giving it to a competent operator who’s going to be a good steward of my investment.

Devon:
Well, I want to add to that. I kind of think if you’re truly a passive investor, I even mentioned this in my book coming out, real estate side Hustle and I say it is kind of playing checkers and chess, you’re looking at it completely differently because if I have a day job that I’m making good money at, I don’t have the time to be active and I don’t want to try to take on an active investment that’s going to take away from my day job. So investing passively in getting a lesser return, but netting it out over what my life looks like and being able to perform well at my job. Or maybe it’s somebody who wants to travel the world and do that. So it’s not monetary gain, but it’s like the lesser return to be able to live life how you want to, I think is worth it. And I see a lot of passive investors, they kind of think they’re playing the same game as the active person. When you need to look at it differently, you’re investing passively for a reason. Stop comparing yourself to the returns that the active guy is getting when you have a different objective.

Dave:
That’s a great point. And yeah, it’s also about sustainability. You could do a lot of active investing and burn out pretty quickly, but if you do passive investing, you could just keep doing it because it’s not super intense and it’s not interrupting your lifestyle. And I think your point about your other career is really important, Yvonne, because picking stuff that allows you to keep doing well at your job allows you to generate more capital to invest passively with. At least that’s how I’ve always looked at it. I work and I care about my non-real estate career. And by being good at that job, I have the security, I have health benefits. I have a lot of things that allow me to take risks with my other investing that I probably couldn’t if I was just going full on into active investing.

Kathy:
It’s like all our books apply here, Dave, start with strategy, right? Too many people don’t start with strategy. And then Devon, the real estate side hustle, he puts four different ways to invest passively in that book and is really well-written and exactly the way I would’ve described investing in passive. When you are a busy professional who’s good at your job, you’ve got doctors, you’ve got lawyers, people, tech industry that’s kind of, I’m from the San Francisco Bay area. These people work 60 hours a week. They don’t have time to be flipping houses on the weekend, but they make money and they want to be investing it because Devon says something really good in his book that as a football player, as a pro, what did you say? It’s like three and a half years is the average career.

Dave:
Yeah. Oh my God, really?

Kathy:
Yeah. So you’re making a bunch of money, but for three years. So man, if you don’t invest that, well, you could end up broke after being rich and that’s no fun. It’s better just to be broke and never know what it was like to be rich than rich and then broke. But then he says, but that could be anyone, right? That could be anyone could get cut after three years no matter how good you are. So having that backup plan and investing the money that you make from that career like Devon did, so that when his very long career actually eight years, nine years,

Devon:
Nine, nine, yep.

Kathy:
Nine came to an end. He set himself up well instead of spending it all along the way,

Dave:
I think we’ve all shown our bias here when we’re talking about active invest investing. But let’s talk about active investing. I started as a fairly active investor I guess I would say, and I know you guys do stuff on the more active side of things. So Kathy, why don’t you tell us who’s active? Good for

Kathy:
People who have more time, who have the ability to learn and are passionate about that thing that they’re learning. If you treat the thing you’re actively going to do a business or a job and you become very, very good at it and that’s your job and you love it, then that’s who it’s good for. When Rich and I did a couple of flips and we weren’t good at it, that just was clearly not our forte, and we learned that pretty quickly. I also tried to wholesale once, or maybe it was subject to, it was one of those, and the lady that I talked to was so mad she came into my office and threw food at my office manager,

Dave:
Oh my god.

Kathy:
Because apparently I was very rude in the way that I made the offer. So it was pretty early on. I’m not good at this. I don’t like knocking on doors and trying to negotiate these deals, whereas other people are great at it. So just like any job, you got to love it. You got to invest in it so that you really understand it, put time in it and be passionate about it and you’ll be successful. But dabbling, dabbling is where people get in trouble with active investments. Like a family member who’s like, oh, the next door is for sale, I’ll just buy that. And never had time to fix it up. Had it for two years, lost a ton of money, actually I think eventually lost it in foreclosure. So dabbling in active is risky.

Dave:
Devon, what about you? Who do you think succeeds as an active investor?

Devon:
Someone who has the time ultimately and the desire to do it more actively? My biggest active activity now is my private lending company. And reason why I’m doing that is I have a chance to earn a higher return. I can invest passively in private debt funds and get a 10% return, or I can do it on my own and build the infrastructure and be a little more active and annualize a 16 to 18% return on my money because when you really run the numbers, that’s what it is. So I’m like, okay, is it worth being a little more active and getting a higher return? And with where my life is now, I think it is because that money is going to be money I can live off of as well as continue to keep investing. So I think the time and your willingness to kind of devote a little bit more time, but that was my factor is like I looked at lending and I’m like, I know I want more income. I can do it passively and get a 10% return, or I could do it actively and get 16 plus I’m going to be a little more active and try to build it the right way to where it’s not too active. But that was my decision and I think people in that position could make the same choice.

Dave:
That’s a great point. And I mean I don’t blame you. The difference between 10%, 16% return may not sound like a lot, but it’s a huge amount. So that’s worth it for your time and you’ve still found a way to do it. So that is why people say doing active can be really beneficial. I will say that I also just think active is really good for newbies. And I know that’s not always the most logical thing, but from my experience, I learned so much by self-managing for a few years. You learn so many of the things that we’re talking about today. First and foremost, you learn the things you like and you don’t. Like Kathy said, I never tried flipping, but I just learned that heavy renovation just wasn’t for me. It was too stressful for me having a full-time job and trying to coordinate with contractors while I was at work and it just wasn’t right for me.

Dave:
I learned that I do love acquisitions, I love looking for markets, I like those kinds of things. And so it sort of sets you up for the future of your career, even if you don’t want to be a full-time investor. Even when I was active, I never intended to be a full-time real estate investor, but I did it to get my hands dirty and learn a little bit. And I do think that makes sense for a lot of people who could even just be active with one or two deals. It’s not like you have to scale this active portfolio, but just being there and learning with your hands on a project can be really beneficial to people. The other thing that I think is also super valuable for people to be active is people just hate their jobs. I don’t know, I dunno how else to say it, but people always ask, should I quit my job and go to real estate? Do you like your job? Because if you like your job, no, stay with your job and invest passively. But if you really hate your job, you could probably make a career in real estate investing, but you should know that it’s just going to be another job.

Dave:
But if you feel like you’ll like being a full-time real estate investor and you’ll find it more fulfilling and enjoyable than working in whatever career you have currently, then that might be good for you.

Kathy:
I do want to say something about that though. I was at the investor event and Kim Kiyosaki spoke and a woman got up and said, I am so scared. I’m so scared to invest because I have this great career and I’m just so afraid that if I dive into real estate, I’ll fail. And Kim looked at her and said, well, why would you do that to yourself? And what she meant was, yeah, why would you leave a successful career to dive into one you have no clue about? And that’s what so many people don’t realize is that real estate’s a career and it takes some time to learn and you hopefully don’t have a doctor who just was like, Hey, I just decided to be a doctor and this dives in and no, it takes years. So Kim was just basically saying in the beginning, you’ve got to set yourself up, have enough savings in place, you just don’t make the leap thinking that you’re just going to be able to get up to speed immediately have reserves in place. Nothing beats the comfort of having reserves.

Dave:
Alright, time for one last break. Thanks for sticking with us. Let’s jump back into this week’s deep dish. So tell me Vonne a little bit about your investing, why now that you have some more time of all the ways you could invest, why did you choose node investing and doing private lending?

Devon:
It’s something I dabbled in while I was playing. My big motivation was once my fast money, I call it income from my job is done, I’m going to have a chunk of money invested, but I’m going to run out if I don’t have any other consistent income coming in. And I was doing a lot of research figuring it out because I was a big cashflow guy like, oh, I’m investing in these for income and what I was looking, I own 29 units now and the income I was generating, I wasn’t on track to hit the income levels that I wanted. And the lending business seemed like the right solution for me to offset the other income I already had coming in from syndications and my portfolio, but then also give me that money so I can keep growing that portfolio.

Dave:
I mean that makes total sense from a strategy perspective. I’m just curious if you entertained other ideas, if you had done burrs or flipping with your time instead that wouldn’t have gotten you the cashflow you were looking for.

Devon:
I think it would’ve, especially flipping. It definitely would’ve, but I don’t want to be active to that level. Although I’m more active in my private lending business, I’m working really hard to build out SOPs, bring in virtual assistants, onboarded software to where a lot of the backend work is going to be handled. And I get to do a lot of finding the borrowers, going to networking events locally, doing the kind of stuff that doesn’t feel like work to me and have a lot of the backend stuff handled, but still get those kind of returns that we discussed a little bit ago. So if I were to go into flipping, I’m going to be a lot more active and I didn’t want that. So I’m like I can kind of use my capital to maybe even joint venture into some flips if I want that opportunity with contractors.

Devon:
But I didn’t want to become a flipper myself. And then same way I could do the birth strategy, but the cash flow is not that great. I refinance out and I got all my capital back. But what about the consistent income for something? For me, I want a certain level of income consistently and I didn’t feel like Burr was that strategy. So with what I’m doing now, I can generate that income and then continue to buy properties, 50% LTV, which is kind of my marker and kind of on your guys’ model, buy a lot of stabilized properties. I do do some of value add but mostly stabilized and continue to grow my portfolio like that.

Dave:
I love that. It’s just such a good example of how customizable these different strategies in real estate is in general because as Devon said, this is his quote, active part of his portfolio, but is probably way more passive than what other people would consider, right? And it’s just finding something that works for you. And again, knowing so clearly what you want seems like has allowed you to say out of all these different strategies along the spectrum of active versus passive, you’ve found the one that not only is the right time commitment but generates the right type of returns, not that you’re looking for in your career. That’s super cool. Alright, well we do have to start winding down here, but I want to know from each of you if you were giving advice to someone in our audience, what’s one active style of investment you’re excited about right now and what’s one passive style of investment that you’re interested right now? Devon, I’ll start with you.

Devon:
Passive came up to mind first. So on the passive side, I’m really still buying good quality single family properties. I like that’s what I’m going to continue to do. I’m leaning more towards your guys’ strategy with more renovated, buying good paths of growth. I think that’s a great route to go. And reason why I like that, right, better than a lot of even syndications and stuff is just because you have control. So what I like with my assets is I get to decide when I refinance, I get to decide if I want to do a heloc, I get to make all the calls on it and I’m really enjoying having that flexibility. So I love that On the passive side, on the active side, I think it kind of depends on your goals. But being a lender myself, I know a ton of people making a killing with fix and flips. I think there’s risk in that. But if you’re willing to go all in and you’re in a growing market, I think you can make what I’m seeing some of these fix and flippers make. I’m like, geez, man, more power to you

Dave:
Totally.

Devon:
If you’re willing to do that, it’s a good business. I would say you need a distinct advantage in that maybe contractor relationships if you’re not one yourself, but I think that’s a great way you can make large chunks of money and pile up some good capital in a short amount of time. So I would recommend that on the active side and in between, I think private lending, I think more people with self-directed IRAs could get into lending. I think more people with capital just sitting in bank accounts could get into lending. So I think if anyone’s out there looking for something in between, I think it’s a vehicle that a lot of people forget.

Dave:
That’s great advice. I was going to give the same advice about flipping, but I felt like a hypocrite. I was like, I don’t flip past this, but I don’t. But for people who want to be active, the margins are great right now. I know it sounds counterintuitive because so many people have, there’s so media headlines about what’s going on in the industry, but talk to a house flipper who’s experienced, they’re doing just fine right now. They are doing just fine. I

Devon:
Didn’t realize they were making as much as they were until I started underwriting some of their deals and seeing, and I’m like, goodness,

Dave:
Yeah, maybe you should be doing some equity deals instead of this loans. Devon. Yeah, seriously. What about you Kathy? What are you recommending on either end of the spectrum right now

Kathy:
What I’m excited about on the active side is build to rent. I think I’ve talked about that on the market a few times where we’re building a build to rent communities right now in the San Antonio area. We have a single family rental fund in Dallas that’s fun on the active side, but I also get to be passive in those too, because you can be the gp but you could also invest in your own deal and kind of like Devon said, have a little bit more control over that. And then on the totally passive side, I’ve been kind of dabbling, as you said, I like to dabble in some of these more exotic type properties where you get to use it but also make money on it. So an example is I have a developer friend in Utah right by where Deer Valley is doubling in size.

Kathy:
So right there, I love areas where there’s growth happening. And the ski resort is going to be the biggest in the country, huge resort. And we bought an eighth of a share in one of the short-term rentals right near it through our friend who’s the developer, and they just manage everything. We still get to use it six weeks out of the year, but otherwise it cash flows. If we don’t want to use the weeks that we have, we can put it on the short-term or long-term market or use it for third homes. So there’s all these personal uses because for so many years I was buying properties in places like Ohio and Detroit and I was never going to see these properties and certainly never using them. And so now it’s like, ooh, I could possibly get the same kind of return but get to use it and it’s cool and exotic. So I’m just kind of looking into those and already the appreciation has gone up. The thing isn’t even done. I mean our unit’s done, but the whole development isn’t done yet and it’s gone up dramatically in price. So that’s kind of fun too.

Dave:
Awesome. Great, great advice. For mine, for active investment, I need to come up with a name. I’m not good at branding things, but I’ve been doing something called, I’m just going to term the delayed cosmetic burr is like this thing that I keep doing where you buy a property, it’s stabilized and it’s cash flowing as is, and it’s a good asset in a good neighborhood. And then you just bur it opportunistically. I’m not going to force it vacant. I’m not going to buy a vacant, I’m going to buy it with people in it and then one unit at a time. As people move out, I’m going to plan out a cosmetic burr and I’m going to renovate it and then I’m going to refinance it. When I’ve done that to all the units, and I know that doesn’t sound like rocket science, but I think this artificial urgency around a burr talks a lot of people out of it.

Dave:
You have to do the bur, you have to sell it within two months. You have to do everything. It’s a flip, but it’s not a flip. You could just buy it and you can have it like cashflow while you wait to do a renovation. And so that’s sort of what I’ve been doing with my active portfolio. And again, to maintain time, I do it one at a time. I’m not doing multiple renovation projects at once. I’ll just do this when I have these units. And then honestly, it’s a great way to get deals because I’ll buy a deal that maybe is a 2% cash on cash return, I don’t care, then I’ll renovate it six months from that. Then it’s an eight or 10% cash on cash return. Great. And now it’s in a really good condition. I’m not going to have to take care of it a lot for the next couple of years I’m super happy.

Dave:
So I’ve been doing that more on the active side. And then on the passive side, I’m just going to say I’ve been investing in debt funds, definitely not getting that 16 to 18% return divide is getting, but you could get eight to 10% pretty reliably in a debt fund. And if you work with a reputable operator, the risk is I think pretty darn low. And you’re doubling a high yield savings account. You’re probably tripling what you can get on bonds these days. And so if you’re looking for additional cashflow with truly nothing to do, debt funds are a pretty good way to do it. Alright, well thank you guys so much for joining us. This was a fun conversation and hopefully it helps you all understand the spectrum of active to investing and that you don’t need to make a decision. You don’t have to be an active investor or a passive investor. You can customize real estate to whatever works for you. And you can see just examples of how Kathy, Devon and I have each done that in our own careers and in our own investing journeys and encourage you to do the exact same. Honestly did not mean for this episode to become like a book discussion, but all three of our books came up. So if you want to grab Kathy’s new book, scaling Smart Tamon, when does your new book come out?

Devon:
October 15th. So right after bp,

Dave:
Well, two weeks from now I think from when this will air. So check out Devon’s new book as well. It’s Real Estate Side Hustle is what it’s called.

Devon:
Yeah, yeah.

Dave:
Awesome. Check that out and congratulations ahead of time. And we’ll put a link to both of those books in the notes below. So check those out. Alright, well Devon, thanks so much for being here.

Devon:
Thanks for having me. This was a blast.

Dave:
Yeah, likewise. And Kathy, thanks as always for bringing your expertise to the show.

Kathy:
Thank you. It’s great to be here and I hope to see you all at BP Con is going to be a blast. I’m bringing the whole family, the grandkids, everybody.

Devon:
Me too. Kathy, you convinced me. Whole family’s coming out. I can’t wait.

Dave:
Oh, excellent. Awesome. Well, when this episode comes out, we’ll all be hanging out in Mexico. So hopefully you’ll be listening to this on your plane ride to BP Con and you’ll see all of us there. Yeah, I’m actually, I’m doing talks with each of you individually, so I’m doing one with Devon about passive investing and doing one with Kathy about data analysis. So this will be a lot of fun. Alright, well thank you all so much for listening for BiggerPockets. I’m Dave Meyer. We’ll see you all soon.

Help Us Out!

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In This Episode We Cover:

  • Active vs. passive real estate investing and which one YOU should choose
  • How much you can make with passive investing and the returns we’re getting
  • Why you may NOT want to quit your job to go into real estate (you can STILL invest)
  • Real estate note investing and why Devon is going all-in on this active/passive investment
  • Why new real estate investors should NOT be passively investing…yet
  • And So Much More!

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How to Reach FIRE Based on Your Income ($45K – $100K/Year)

What does it mean to “win” financially in your income bracket? To us, the end goal is always FIRE (Financial Independence, Retire Early), and if you’re chasing financial freedom, this is the show for you. We’re breaking down the money moves you need to make based on your income bracket, going from $45,000 to $100,000 per year, and how to stretch your dollar the furthest so you can invest, save, and reach FIRE faster.

If you’re at the lower end of the income scale, we’ll give you time-tested methods to boost your income and use your time wisely so you can start stockpiling cash TODAY. If you have a high income, there’s still work to be done as you need to find the best way to keep the most of your income so you can use it to acquire wealth-building assets.

Regardless of how much money you make, you CAN achieve FIRE if you know the proper steps. The good news? We’re sharing those steps today, so stick around!

Click here to listen on Apple Podcasts.

Listen to the Podcast Here

Read the Transcript Here

Mindy:
Wealth building isn’t just about how much you earn, but how much you save and invest, which is why today we are diving into a topic that I think is going to resonate with a lot of people how to win financially. No matter what income bracket you’re in, whether you’re just starting out with a low salary, climbing your way up or already earning a six figure income, there are strategies that can help you reach your financial goals. Hello, hello, hello and welcome to the BiggerPockets Money podcast. My name is Mindy Jensen and with me as always is my definitely in sum income bracket. Co-host, Scott Trench,

Scott:
Capital introduction, Mindy, just capital BiggerPockets has a goal of creating 1 million millionaires. You are in the right place if you want to get your financial house in order and achieve some capital gains because we truly believe financial freedom is attainable for everyone no matter when or where you’re starting. And today we’re going to discuss how to make the biggest financial impact that 45, 75 and a hundred thousand dollars a year in income to propel you on your financial independence journey. We’re going to talk about what investment strategies should stay the same between those three income brackets and what should be different as you increase your income. Okay, Mindy, so let’s start off with how you would approach a $45,000 per year salary starting today.

Mindy:
Okay, at the very beginning of the intro I said wealth building isn’t just about how much you earn, but how much you save and invest. And in the $45,000 tax bracket in the $45,000 income, you don’t have a ton of opportunities to save and invest in large amounts. I want you to first go back to the basics. You are likely at more of the beginning of your career and you have time on your side, which is what I am assuming. I want you to max out your Roth IRA. The contribution limits for under 50 20, 24 is $7,000. That is a little bit over $500 a month. I want you to figure out how you can take $500 a month and put it into your Roth IRA. I think that would be a huge benefit for you right now. I also want you to look at your company’s 401k options.
Do you have a 401k? Do you have a 4 0 3 B? If you’re a government employee, you may have a 4 57 plan. So I want to know what your company is offering as far as a match to your 401k because we are looking for ways to invest and when your company matches the money that you’re putting into the account, we call that free money here. I want you to take advantage of every free dollar you possibly can If your company has a Roth 401k option, I think that’s a great thing to look into as well. It’s got the difference between a Roth and a traditional account is that you pay the taxes now on the rough and then it grows tax free and you withdraw it tax free down the road. So if you’re 20, 25, 30 years old, you have a long runway for this to grow tax free.
If you’re 45, 50, 60, you don’t have as much time for that to compound and grow in the Roth plans. You also might be making more money, in which case reducing your current taxable income could be your goal. That’s what my goal is. But if you are making $45,000 a year, let’s say you’re spending 25 or 30, you’re paying taxes on it. There’s just not a ton of money leftover and I hate to say leftover to contribute to these accounts. Again, assuming that you’re a younger person, I’m going to encourage you to look at side income side hustles so that you can generate more income to more easily fund that Roth IRA and potential 401k contributions. Scott, what are your tips for people making $45,000 a year?

Scott:
I’m going to get way more aggressive than what you just said there and say, look, if you’re making $45,000 a year, you’re just getting started or something drastic needs to change if you want to achieve financial independence because you ain’t achieving financial independence in a hurry, making $45,000 a year. So the whole game becomes how do we change the fact that you’re making $45,000 a year, which is fundamentally incongruent with the achievement of very early financial independence like 10, 15, 20 years at minimum here. So I would be throwing out a lot of the long-term saving and investing advice. The question is how can we get expenses extremely low and build up a cash position, which allows us to exploit the next set of opportunities and how do we gear up for the career pivot or entrepreneurial venture or house hack that can actually begin exploding income?
I was in this position to start my career. I was 23 making 48 KA year. That’s more today adjusted for inflation of course than 40 5K. It’s about 60 K, but in that situation, my day was I would get up, make my own breakfast, pack my own lunch drive or bike to work in my Corolla if I was driving or on my $250 bicycle that I purchased from a coworker. If it was a nice day and I could bike and in the evenings as soon as I stopped, I would uber or tutor or figure out a way to earn side hustle income and this way I saved up about 20 K by living with a roommate to be able to make the next big investment. So that’s the goal. I would forget the Roth or the 401k or whatever and I’d just stick cash in a savings account because the problem isn’t whether, which vehicle you’re taking, the problem is that even if you saved all of the $45,000, you wouldn’t achieve fire in the next 10 to 15 years on that unless you got pretty lucky from an investment standpoint.
So we need to increase that income with that cash position and the very low cost lifestyle. I would be looking for an opportunity within the next six months to a year to dramatically accelerate that income. If that was in the current position, that’s one thing, but probably unlikely I’d be looking for a sales gig or an opportunity to go to work at a startup or I’d be thinking about the small business and a world and how to maybe acquire or get into that if I could partner with somebody, but I would be stockpiling cold hard cash in the form of digital savings in the bank account, of course in the checking your savings account and I’d be looking to use that opportunity. So example what that could look like. You earn $45,000 a year, you try to save 10, $15,000 of it in emergency reserve, maybe 20, and then you go after a house hack.
The ideal house hack I would say in Denver, Colorado at this moment or where I’d be sniffing around for opportunity is I’d be looking for a four or five bedroom house in a specific part of town called Aurora near a medical campus. I have this all located, you should get this specific for yourself over the next six months to a year while you study this in your market, wherever that is. By way looking to it for a four to five bedroom house with two to three baths, I’d be looking for a large yard that would enable or allow the option for an A DU to be constructed and I would be thinking about can I live in that house and rent out the other bedrooms? Can I construct an A DU and live in that and Airbnb the house? What are my options there to be able to provide a really good opportunity?
I’d also be looking at consumable mortgages in that particular area of town. It may be different in yours. There’s a lot of assumable mortgages which are perfect for somebody in this position because you don’t need as much income to qualify for an assumable mortgage if it has that last year’s or 2021 or previous lower interest rate mortgages. So I’d be getting really aggressive about those things and stockpiling cash to enable myself to make that career or house hacking pivot because the investing doesn’t make sense at this base or it’s way dramatically outweighed by the opportunities to switch career or house hack, which the cash directly enables by giving you some cushion there. So how do you feel about that? Very different answer, Mindy. I

Mindy:
Will agree to disagree. I like what you’re saying about stockpiling cash and taking advantage and reducing your expenses. You said you packed your own lunch, you biked to work, you did side hustles and you had a roommate. I have heard story after story from people who aren’t on the path of financial independence who make 45, $50,000 a year and go out to lunch every day because that’s what all their coworkers do. They drive to work in that brand new car that they bought for high school or college graduation because they deserve it and they don’t do side hustles because I’m in my twenties, I want to live my life and they don’t have a roommate. They had roommates all through college and they just want to be by themselves and those are choices that they’re making. I’m not sure if those are choices that they’re making, consciously understanding the financial impact.
I think those are choices that they’re making based on wants once instead of needs. So I see where you’re coming from. I love that advice. I still want to go back to the Roth IRA. If you are young, you have so much runway to grow tax-free. That is a gift. Also get an HSA, but I think that the bottom line, Scott, is that income needs to increase if you want to reach financial independence and at $45,000, there’s just not a lot of extra to be putting into your wealth building, which is why your tip about reducing your expenses is really, really, really key.

Scott:
Stay tuned for more on how to change up your investing strategies with more income after a quick break,

Mindy:
Let’s jump back in.

Scott:
I’m literally saying if you’re trying to go retire, traditionally you can retire traditionally by saving 10 15% of that 40 5K salary and investing it in a Roth, IRA, Dave Ramsey, Ramit, all these other great personal finance folks, they’re good resources for that and you should do that. But if you’re trying to fire, if you’re trying to retire early in 10 to 15 years, don’t do that. Save a bunch of cash and use that to manufacture opportunities. Don’t blow the cash but just stockpile it for one year and I promise that if you couple that with reading 30 50 business books in your spare time and tons of side hustles, the opportunities that emerge for you will be better than a 10% stock market return on average around that. For that I promise I don’t know, but I would way rather take that bet and that’s what I did when I was in that position and I think that it will pay off really handsomely to have that cash stock piled rather than having a little bit of money in that first Roth.
Again, if you’re trying to get there very quickly, there’ll be time to catch up that Roth and 401k later when we really go after our income, but that’s a huge, I am literally suggesting that you go through 30 to 50 business books during this time period, side hustle a lot and really treat the situation of earning 40 5K is an emergency and that in the next year that is going to be going up and there’s going to be an opportunity set that will emerge that will allow me to make much more than that. On a go forward basis, if you want to fire well in advance of traditional retirement age, there’s no really way around how to fire with 40 5K. The answer is, and you’ll find a lot of people here on BiggerPockets money who fired starting from an income of $45,000. You’re going to find very few who never materially changed that starting point of $45,000 and that’s also a frustration people say is, oh, this person made 150 K.
Well guess what? If you’re capable of saving 30 40% of $45,000 salary and you read a bunch of business books and you listen to podcasts, you will accumulate first tens and then hundreds of thousands of dollars in assets, maybe a million dollars in assets, people who are capable and disciplined enough to amass and then effectively manage a million dollars in assets, often have job opportunities and can drive much more value than that at businesses to earn more money. So this will all work together and compound. It just needs to start with a major pivot and new orientation around that I think and the aggressive accumulation of cash to seize those opportunities.

Mindy:
Scott, now let’s look at a $75,000 income you’re making. I would say significantly more than you need to live off of, especially if you’re able to live off of this 45,000, I think you’re making significantly more than you need to bare bones live. I know there’s people that are going to say, oh, I can’t live off 75. Okay, great for you, but these are people who are living off of 75. What would you do differently at a $75,000 income than you would or recommend at a $45,000 income?

Scott:
So I think that the game has changed a little bit at $75,000 and it depends on the type of income, right? So if you’re a salesperson making $75,000, well there’s opportunity to really expand that and that changes the way I think about investing a little bit more than, for example, a teacher who may be making $75,000 between their base salary and summer gig for example in there, if you’re in the teaching profession for example, with that $75,000 in combined income and benefits, again including a summer job, I know that many teachers do not earn $75,000 per year, especially earlier in the career, but that’s a case where I would say, okay, now let’s go down the ladder of these retirement accounts and say, okay, how do I put this into tax advantaged accounts like the Roth, like the 401k, like the HSA. I know the teachers actually have different versions of those here, but I think that that’s where I would be thinking about, I’m going to use these tax advantage retirement accounts.
Maybe in the off time I’m going to be thinking about maybe a real estate project every couple of years, save up some cash for that, but I’m going to be moving down that stack and thinking, can I get to 30 40% of the income and yeah, you can probably fire in about 17 to 22 years starting from upstanding position if you’re able to save 30, 40, maybe get approaching that 50% mark on that income, which of course will get easier as the investments pile on and add a little bit more income on top of that base salary. So that’s one approach. If I’m going to be a little bit more aggressive about this and I’m in more of that sales approach or I am expecting my career to accelerate at a faster clip, maybe I’m on the corporate finance track and I’m thinking that the 70 5K today should be bumping up against a hundred thousand in three to five years.
Okay, maybe now I’m actually thinking about this is the more aggressive period of my investment career and I’m going to start saving up as much cash as possible and getting a couple of those rental properties done now so that by the time I fire in 15 years or 10 to 15 years, there’ll be a little bit more lightly leveraged and producing a little bit more cashflow. So that’s how I’d be thinking about it in those kinds of maybe two different types of scenarios. One that’s a little bit more static, 75,001 that’s more in a trajectory that’s moving me towards six figures or beyond.

Mindy:
I like what you’re saying there. Did you say index funds? Because I think at 75,000 you should be starting investing in the stock market.

Scott:
So lemme put this, I’ll restate this. If I’m in the more static progression in my career, I’m not expecting my income to surge over the next two to three years, then I would be investing in index funds or thinking about those types of investments. The decision about how to invest really depends on my aggression and timeline here. Let’s say that I am a teacher and my pension is going to mature in 20 years. Well, I’m probably not going to retire in 15 years. Even if I’m capable of doing that because I’m giving up one of the best assets of that profession, I’m probably going to be thinking about a more passive approach that’s going to get me there with a lot less headache. Maybe at that point I’m going to invest in index funds if I’m in a more aggressive pursuit of financial independence and I don’t have those types of timelines and I always want to get there as fast as possible, I’m probably waiting much more heavily towards real estate in the early years because real estate comes with the benefits of leverage and that compounding, and I’m thinking about maybe if I’m going to take the 401k match, maybe I’ll max that HSA, but I’m probably going to be, if I’m having to make trade-offs here, which most people at the $75,000 per year income range are going to have, I’m probably thinking if I want that portfolio, my end state and maybe a million in real estate, maybe a million in stocks, it’s a great idea in my view to buy that real estate earlier in the journey because you get the benefits of leverage and by the time you want to retire, the portfolio will be de-leveraging and you’ll be able to get more cashflow from that as you’ve paid off the mortgage and as rent growth has come on.
So I would probably wait towards real estate first and then as I get closer to financial dependence, really focus on that stock portfolio in these tax advantaged accounts.

Mindy:
We have to take one final break, but stick around for more on maximizing your income when we’re back.

Scott:
Welcome back to the show.

Mindy:
I want to look at $75,000 a year. I’m thinking that your job has a little bit more responsibility so you have more obligations to be at work to be doing things for work and you have less free time. I don’t see side hustles as a really big part of your wealth building journey At 75,000 and above. I see more unless you have some rockstar side hustle that is taking little time or easy to automate. I’m looking more at passive income streams. The stock market is a great go-to especially when you don’t want to be doing real estate syndications. If you can get a really great syndicator, if you can get a really great product, if you can get a really great property, syndications are a great source of passive income. I also really like private lending. That’s one of my favorite ways to generate some pretty good income short-term loans that I am doing like three-ish months. We had the authors of Lend to Live, which is a BiggerPockets book on the show a few months ago. They both have different ways of looking at the way that they lend, they lend. One of them lends more to the person than the deal and one lends more to the deal than the person. I am definitely on person more than the deal side. I typically lend only to people that I know can pay me back.

Scott:
How much capital do you need to privately lend?

Mindy:
I do private. I have done many private loans at around $50,000.

Scott:
Okay.

Mindy:
I have done private loans at higher amounts, but I don’t think that’s necessary to get into private lending. There’s also a lot of ways that you can lend without being the middleman. You hand the money to the middleman and they take care of it, and that’s a way to get into it at lower amounts. You don’t like private lending at 75,000.

Scott:
I was just thinking, I’m putting myself on the, I know you can do this with less capital, but I’m just putting my hat on of I earn less than $75,000. I’m listening and I’m like, well, can I really actually buy a $50,000 loan on a rental property? Is that even possible? And then do I have the capital to do that in liquidity at that point in time? So I wanted to just check in on that to see for those who might think that it’s less feasible to actually pull that off in that income bracket.

Mindy:
And that’s a good point. You do have to have some income to lend. You can’t just be like, yeah, I’ll lend you 50,000 and then like, Ooh, where am I going to get 50,000 from? But I like that as a passive income source. Again, you have to know what you’re doing. You should definitely read that book and learn about this process before you get into it. But I like the passive income streams at 75,000 and above the stock market. I am always going to be pro stock market. I have done very well in the stock market, but again, in your $75,000 income, this is not a free for all spend, whatever you want, keeping your expenses low, investing intelligently and with purpose at $75,000 a year, you’re working with other people who are now saying, oh, I got this hot stock tip. There’s no such thing as a hot stock tip.
Don’t buy that hot stock. That’s never going to work out. You’re making a good income. I wouldn’t say this is fire income yet. It’s fire a bowl, but your fire journey is going to be longer, especially with how much you’re spending if you can get your income or your expenses way down. Again, house hacking, living in a low cost of living area, having an older car riding your bike to work, living close enough that you can ride your bike to work. There’s lots of ways to cut down your expenses so that you can save more.

Scott:
Yeah, look, I think that a reality of fire that we probably need to just address is even at 45, 45, let’s take the 45 example. If you just saved a hundred percent of your income for 20 years, that’s 900 grand plus the investment returns, maybe you’re getting to fire in 20 years, it’s just not enough income. You just can’t do it with that. It has to change. The income has to change. If you want to fire, let’s use the same example with 750 in 10 years, you’re going to save 750 grand. If you save 100% of that and paid no tax on it, it’s still fundamentally the blocker for fire. So you either have to be on a trajectory to increase that income there or begin taking much more risky or more aggressive or sacrifice investments or you have to sacrifice like the house hack so you’re still in that position.
This is not an income level that will support rapid achievement of fire unless you’re going to serial house hack, unless you’re going to live and flip, unless you’re going to make big changes here. But I’m still not in the position of saying that we can achieve fire with 70 5K in income in a really robust timeline without continuing to make changes on those fronts. You’re looking at at least 20 years, I think even if you’re saving 30, 40, 50% of that in the stock market, and that’s if things go well and the trajectory kind of continues to climb. But I think that that’s still fundamentally the issue here and that’s how I’d be thinking about it. Even at 70 5K, I don’t even know. Moving on to the next bracket, if it changes that much at a hundred K here, a hundred K is now we’re earning a pretty serious income and if we save 30 to 50% of that, we’re talking about maybe 30 to 40 grand a year after taxes, for example, and that’s going to take you what?
400 k, 800 k, 400 k in savings over 10 years, 800 k over 20 years, and you’re still living a very modest lifestyle at that point in time on that income. So I think we continue in the fire journey to have this dependence on these fairly high leverage investments. Remember, our goal here is to achieve a retirement level of wealth way before most people, so a hundred k, we’re starting to get this much more doable. If you do go down the traditional retirement stack ladder, I don’t think you’re going to be able to do it at 75,000. I think you’re going to have to do the live and flip Mindy for example, or whatever. You might be able to do it at a hundred, especially if there are, like we mentioned earlier, good income jump opportunities, but now we’re really flirting with that border of yeah, I think you could get pretty close in about 15 to 20 years if you had a low cost of living and you went down the traditional money guy or Dave Ramsey retirement planning stack, and he said, okay, I’m going to max out the HSA, I’m going to take my 401k and then max out the 401k.
If I can contribute anywhere else and maybe save a little bit in after tax brokerage account. You could get there with a fairly passive investing strategy if you are really tight on the expense side and consistent over a decade or two, at least almost about two decades, maybe two decades plus in this route. But I would still be thinking I need to layer in a couple of fairly substantial bets or using my housing as a tool to supplement the journey to fire. Even at a hundred thousand dollars a year in income, I think you’d still have to house hack live and flip or think about some other side project like building a real estate portfolio in order to really get there in a reasonable timeframe. What do you think about that? Mindy?

Mindy:
I don’t want to agree with you, Scott, because I see a hundred thousand dollars a year and I think, wow, that’s a great income and it is a great income, but I don’t really think that you’re wrong. I’m trying to think back to all the people that we have interviewed who got to a position of zero net worth and then started building and they reached financial independence within 10 years and none of them made $45,000. None of them made $75,000.

Scott:
Some of them started there, but none of them finished there.

Mindy:
Started, yes, but they didn’t finish there, and I don’t think many of them were only, and I do this in air quotes, only making a hundred thousand dollars. They had two. Now I’m assuming that a hundred thousand is household income, not per person.

Scott:
We’ve had several couples who have neither of them made more than a hundred thousand dollars a year.

Mindy:
Yes, neither. But together that’s like 150 or $175,000 a year, which is a much more, normal is not the right word. I know people are going to [email protected] to tell him that they don’t want me to say it’s a normal income, but it’s a much more normal tofi income at 175,000 than it is at a hundred thousand. It just takes a lot of money to reach financial independence because you are taking your 35 year career or your 45 year career and you are compressing it. Well, if you’re not going to make all this money for 45 years, you’re going to have to save a whole lot more in order to be able to reach your financial independence goals. So I don’t want to agree with you, but I think you’re right. I think even at a hundred thousand dollars a year, you’ve got to focus on keeping your savings rate at 30, 40, 50, 60%.
You need to avoid lifestyle creep, especially if you were in that $45,000 bracket and then increase to a hundred, oh my goodness, I got, I doubled my income, now I can spend more. No, you doubled your income now you can save more. Again, reach with the goal of early financial independence, you will have to be saving more and REIT encourages you to enjoy your best life, live your rich life, that’s great. He’s not wrong, but living your rich life and achieving early financial independence is not really two goals that you can do At the same time, you can live a great life while achieving financial independence. You can live a rich life depending on what your definition of a rich life is and reach financial independence, and I encourage you to enjoy the journey to financial independence, but income is going to have to increase because your savings has to increase because you are decreasing your timeline to get to retirement money.

Scott:
Yeah, I think that’s right. I think that’s the problem with, again, you can get there. I think a hundred thousand dollars a year in annual income is the starting line for, and let’s define fire. Let’s define fire. There’s all these crazy things here. Jacob Lund, Fisker, early retirement Extreme living off of $7,000 a year out of a trailer. That’s not what we’re about here. That’s awesome that he does that. That’s not what you’re probably listening to. BiggerPockets money in order to achieve fire for, I think the vast majority of listeners, I said this before, I’ve never gotten challenged on it. Please do challenge me if you disagree, is one and a half to two and a half million dollars depending on where you’re located. So when we say that, when we frame that goal, that makes it a little bit more clear that, again, a hundred K is just not going to cut it in terms of firing in a reasonable amount of time.
You can get there by 55 if you want, if you’re starting at 2025 in there. That’s possible with a hundred K, but we got to still got to supplement at all three of these income levels with them. 40 5K is so little income relative to the needs for fire that the game has to be around. How do I dramatically increase my income at 70 5K? We’re still kind of there, but we can get there if we’re able to have enough side pursuits that can really stack on there, and a hundred K is just a little bit reducing the pressure for those side hustles a little bit more. But in the 70 5K to a hundred K range, I still think you really have to throw in a couple of live-in flips or house hacks at the very least to really have a shot there if there’s not serious potential to expand the income by just sticking with it in the career and continuing to climb the ladder or advance the skillset there.
And those options I think are necessary that, or building the machine of a real estate portfolio, if your area is conducive to that in that and that income bracket, that’s not going to be practical in Los Angeles, although perhaps a hundred thousand dollars a year income earner or two could find some way to make it work within 50 to a hundred miles of Los Angeles with some sort of live-in flipper house hack getting going here. You’re probably going to need that dual income to really have that opportunity or find something creative. But in other parts of the country that are lower cost of living, that is a reasonable way to go about it. But I think you’re going to have to have that side business where you’re truly adding value as a business and not just passively investing in order to supplement that income and have a real crack at fire within 10 to 15 years.

Mindy:
Okay, I want to hear now from our listeners who are sitting here saying, Scott, I totally did that. If you reached Financial independence making 45, 75, a hundred thousand dollars a year household or similar, please email [email protected], [email protected], tell us your story. We want to hear it. But those of you who were making a higher income, we want to hear your stories too. Email me anyway just to say hi email Scott just to say hi. But I do believe that, Scott, you are correct. We’re both correct.

Scott:
Yeah, I think there’s a lot of right ways to approach life and building wealth. And again, if you’re not trying to fire, go down the traditional retirement stack, put the money in the 401k and the Roth, start investing today and build for the long term, even if you’re starting at $45,000 a year. But if you want to get rich in 10 to 15 years, you got to play a different set of rules because that ain’t going to do it. It’s just not going to happen there unless you get extremely lucky. And I think I’m not, this is a one to two year delay. I’m not saying do not invest in your 401k. I’m saying for the first next two years, pile up a bunch of cash, read a bunch of books, and find some opportunities to expand the income and then contribute to the 401k in Roth once you solved for the income problem and used every resource at your disposal, including your cash position to seize that next opportunity and then go after it’s a two year delay. And don’t do that. If you’re the type of person who’s just going to blow your money on a boat instead of actually investing it in the next opportunity or investment on this, don’t put it in cash, put it somewhere you can’t touch it. But for the fire community, if you’re going to go after this, go after it and recognize that the investment returns in your first $15,000 are totally immaterial to the 1.5 million to 2.5 million goal you’d know you’ll actually have in terms of reaching fire within the next 10 to 15 years.

Mindy:
Alright, Scott, I thought this was a great conversation. I would love to hear from our listeners, either through our Facebook group or if you want to send me or Scott a message [email protected]. [email protected] or the Facebook group, facebook.com/groups/bp money. We would love to hear from you, how did you reach financial independence? What business books do you have to recommend share with our listeners? Alright, Scott, we get out of here.

Scott:
Let’s do it.

Mindy:
That wraps up this episode of the BiggerPockets Money podcast. He is the Scott Trench. I am Mindy Jensen saying Tooles noodles.

Help us reach new listeners on iTunes by leaving us a rating and review! It takes just 30 seconds. Thanks! We really appreciate it!

In This Episode We Cover

  • How to speed up your path to financial independence based on your income bracket
  • Why we disagree about retirement account investing when you’re just starting your career
  • Ways to make more money and side hustles that can boost your income
  • The headache-free vs. hands-on approach to investing for FIRE (and who should take which path)
  • Lifestyle creep and avoiding overspending (EVEN if you have a higher income)
  • How much money we reasonably think you’ll need to achieve FIRE 
  • And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.

Is Investing in Hotels a Better Move Than Scaling Short-Term Rentals?

Pre-pandemic, short-term rentals (STRs) seemed to answer burned-out landlords’ prayers. Guests paid their money upfront, eliminating the need to evict, and homeowners could use their personal residences to earn extra income should they wish to travel or rent out individual rooms. 

The hotel industry quaked and pressured cities to introduce restrictions. However, STR fever was rampant. Soon, entire apartment buildings were dedicated to the vacation rental phenomenon. Everyone with a granny flat, RV, and spare room seemed to be competing for STR dollars. Would it last? Were hotels over?

Inevitably, some markets became saturated, and the narrative about short-term rentals changed amongst investors. Post-pandemic, the number of vacation homes in the U.S. increased by 23.3% from October 2021-2022. That spring, at the height of the STR booking season, 80,000-88,000 new short-term rentals were added to the market monthly.

Bookings dropped, and landlords fretted. Hoteliers breathed a sigh of relief. 

After a shaky couple of years due in part to the economic downturn, the short-term rental business is expected to grow at a stable pace. Equally, the hotel business in the U.S. is predicted to exhibit an annual growth of 3.8% (CAGR 2024-2029), with a projected market volume of $133.3 billion by 2029. 

So, which makes a better investment for investors looking to scale their hospitality business? Hotels or STRs? 

Short-Term Rentals

As an active STR owner and landlord, I have found that the pros and cons of owning a short-term rental business are well-defined.

Pros

  • Tenants pay upfront 
  • Potential to generate more revenue than long-term rentals
  • Offer owners flexibility to rent properties when they want
  • Allows owners to scale at their own pace
  • Allows a diverse type of buildings to be used as rentals
  • Popular destinations enjoy high-traffic

Cons

  • Labor-intensive management
  • At the whim of STR algorithms for market visibility
  • Bad reviews can hurt your business
  • Potential for guests to cause damage/use the property for parties
  • Difficult to scale when using residential neighboring comps for appraisals
  • Outlawed in some cities

While the short-term rental space has benefited from property owners using high-end homes as vacation rentals, scaling with smaller units is more difficult. Using apartment buildings is harder due to increased restrictions. Buying small multifamily or single-family homes one after another takes time, and competition is tough. Still, STRs and hotels do well nationally within their catchment areas.

“We’ve seen the strongest demand in small and midsize cities, coastal and mountain locations, and areas outside of major urban centers,” Jamie Lane, senior vice president of analytics and chief economist at AirDNA, a market research firm that specializes in short-term rentals, told the New York Times of the STR market. “Hotel supply is primarily in larger urban centers or along interstates.” 

A Hotel Investing Case Study: Sathiyan Kadhiwala 

Sathiyan Kadhiwala came to the U.S. from India in 1995 and started working at his uncle’s Super 8 hotel in Allentown, Pennsylvania. He swept the car park, cleaned rooms, and eventually graduated to the front desk.

“One of the first things my uncle told me was that apart from customer service, the three most important things for guests were a clean bathroom, a working TV, and a comfortable bed,” Kadhiwala told BiggerPockets. 

Kadhiwala continued to work within his family’s business, investing with his brother, living frugally, and saving money. After being turned down by banks because of his lack of assets and cash, he saved $750,000 over 20 years, which he used as a down payment on a $5 million Hampton Inn Hotel in Clarion, Pennsylvania, in 2017, about 90 minutes outside Pittsburgh.

Kadhiwala said:

“The first thing I did was add lights to the exterior, particularly the parking lot. The next thing we did was a huge business outreach to attract customers, offering incentives. 

As with any business, cash flow is the key. The advantage of a hotel is, firstly, you have a brand name that many people trust. Beyond that, the profitability of your business depends on payroll, property taxes, and insurance. If you can minimize these costs and increase visitors, you are in a good position. Unlike a short-term rental, which is mostly a small building, a hotel is appraised on its cash flow, not the neighboring buildings.”

Kadhiwala has scaled his business over the last seven years using SBA financing. Today, he owns 10 hotels comprising four Holiday Inns, two Hampton Inns, one Super 8, one Ramada, an Econo Lodge, and a Motel 6. 

For ease of calculation, assume each hotel had 100 rooms (most of his hotels have 80 rooms). He gave me these numbers: 

“With economy hotels such as Super 8 or Days Inn, if purchased at $6 million-$6.5 million, you can expect to generate $1.5 million in annual revenue and $500,000 in cash flow. For Hampton Inns and Holiday Inns, purchased at $10 million+, the cash flow on a 100-room hotel is around $900,000/year. Obviously, that is very dependent on the location.”

Kadhiwala prefers more rural locations in Pennsylvania for his hotels to mitigate the expenses. 

The consensus on running a hotel is that it’s extremely labor intensive and far from the passive income model most investors prefer. Kadhiwala agrees, saying that he and his wife put in years of working 140-hour weeks to build their business. “My money was the time I put into the business,” he says. Me and my wife lived in a one-room apartment and saved our cash.”

Now, they outsource much of the day-to-day running to trusted third-party management teams and are looking to flip some of their hotels and diversify to more passive-type businesses such as gas stations. 

“The management teams have staff from their country—it’s often Egyptian or Indian, and they use the local community from that area,”  Kadhiwala explained. “They charge an $8/10 per-room fee, so they have an incentive to make the hotel as profitable as possible.” 

Hotels Are Changing to Replicate Short-Term Rentals

Many travelers have grown accustomed to the freedom and space that short-term rentals offer and have veered away from hotels entirely.

“Hotels have taken a page from the short-term rental playbook and said, ‘We want our restaurants open to the public, and we want rooms not to be beige boxes,’” Jan Freitag, national director for hospitality analytics at CoStar, told the New York Times. “On the amenities side, the room that used to be a place to crash now has to serve as an office.” 

Extended-stay hotels are the middle ground between a short-term rental and a hotel, featuring kitchenettes and expanded living spaces. Larger hotel chains have taken notice, with new brands expected to debut this year, including MidX Studios from Marriott, LivSmart Studios by Hilton, and Hyatt Studios. Onefinestay.com rents high-end homes and apartments with concierge service and was acquired by Accor Hotels in 2016. 

However, short-term rentals can be hit or miss. Despite online reviews, you can never be entirely sure what you’ll get, so many travelers prefer to eliminate the uncertainty, remaining loyal to trusted hotel brands.

Final Thoughts

There is no easy money in real estate. Passive income is largely a myth, especially while scaling a portfolio by leveraging. Take your eye off the ball, and things can quickly go south, especially in short-term rentals and hotel hospitality spaces, even with decent property managers. 

However, the less debt you take on, the more cash flow you will have, making you less stressed when problems arise. Kadhiwala and his wife put in the hard yards building their hotel businesses to a point where they can look at a future where they can transition to more passive sources of income while still keeping an eye on their core hospitality business. 

Invest to suit your risk tolerance, financial means, and appetite. Buying hotels requires deep pockets, either saved from years of working and living frugally like Kadhiwala or syndicated with other investors. Short-term rentals generally take less investment but generate less cash flow and equity.

If you’re looking to scale, examine the pros and cons of both, along with your borrowing ability and comfort level. Some investors prefer not to partner with others, in which case smaller short-term rentals could be a better investment. Hotels, however, generate more cash, equity, and the ability to exit quickly with greater profits due to increased cash flow—provided you know what you’re doing.

Find the Hottest Markets of 2024!

Effortlessly discover your next investment hotspot with the brand new BiggerPockets Market Finder, featuring detailed metrics and insights for all U.S. markets.

Market Finder Site Module 1

Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.

Property Insurance Is Changing—Here’s What to Expect Next Year

Property insurance is a key component in any real estate investor’s business plan. Depending on the area of the country you’re investing in, property insurance costs can add many thousands to your annual property expenses—and in some areas of the country, these are rising rapidly. 

Almost everyone knows by now that California and Florida are experiencing property insurance crises, with insurance increasingly scarce and/or unaffordable. This is, of course, ironic for investors because, in many other ways, these continue to be lucrative investment destinations. 

Here, we’ll look for silver linings for investors in these states. (Spoiler alert: There are a couple.) We’ll also take an in-depth look at destinations that have traditionally been seen as “safe” from the insurance point of view, thanks to a more stable climate. We’ll see how this is changing and point to the factors investors need to be aware of when doing property research.

The Midwest Is No Longer Automatically ‘‘Affordable’’

Of all U.S. regions, the Midwest has been investors’ favorite for the last couple of years. There are many reasons for this, but they can be effectively summarized as the golden combination of affordability and relative stability. The reasoning goes like this: The Midwest may not be as hot of a market as the South, but it will deliver steady returns because people are keen to move there, and property prices are more stable.

This reputation is beginning to shift, however, with the Midwest now experiencing increased pressures on its property insurance market. The reason is a changing climate. The Midwest is experiencing more rain and more frequent and intense storms, resulting in more damage to homes.

According to the 2023 U.S. National Climate Assessment report, ‘‘More frequent and intense heavy precipitation events are already evident, particularly in the Northeast and Midwest.’’ It’s not just that the Midwest is getting more rain—annual precipitation has already risen by as much as 20% in some areas, according to the EPA. It’s the fact that heavy precipitation now tends to arrive all at once during extreme downpours. 

The results are obvious: heavy flooding. Iowa, South Dakota, and Minnesota all experienced historic flooding levels in June 2024 following heavy rainfall.

Extreme weather patterns are affecting the Midwest in more ways than one, however. According to a recent study of observational data from 1951-2020, Tornado Alley is shifting. Since the middle of the last century, ‘‘tornado activity has shifted away from the Great Plains and toward the Midwest and Southeast United States.’’ While everyone knows to expect tornado activity in Oklahoma, Nebraska, and South Dakota, it increasingly includes places like Ohio, which recorded 71 tornadoes in 2024 so far

Additionally, the Midwest is already prone to seasonal thunderstorms, with lightning and hailstorms. These, too, are increasing in intensity, which means that the hail is larger and causes more damage to infrastructure and property.  

The impact on property insurance premiums is severe. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, premiums increased by 34% over just seven years. Some states recorded even faster hikes, notably 41% in South Dakota, which is significantly more than the national average of 34% over the same time span.  

When insurers aren’t raising premiums, they are reducing coverage. According to the report, increasingly financially stressed insurers ‘‘impose new conditions on coverage of common perils, such as wind and hail damage.’’

That’ of course, is because wind and hail ‘‘are second only to hurricanes in the damage they inflict,’’ which means they’re among the most expensive weather events for insurers. According to the National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI), straight-line wind and tornadoes caused $246 billion in damage to U.S. properties from 2014 to 2023. Tropical cyclones, such as hurricanes, caused $695 billion in damage. While there’s a very significant gap between the costs of tropical versus nontropical weather events, the amounts are still huge. 

What do Midwest investors need to be aware of?

Hail, in particular, is now being treated differently by insurers in hail-prone areas of the Upper Midwest (e.g., Minnesota). While hail used to be covered in the same way as other types of natural disasters, i.e., with a standard deductible, the deductible is increasingly tied to the current value of the home and is around 2%. That can have huge implications for how much an investment property is actually going to cost you. 

Moreover, many insurers are refusing to provide full coverage for older roofs and are subtracting depreciation from the amount covered. 

The other big thing that’s happening (not just in the Midwest) is that insurers increasingly rely on newly available data about extreme weather patterns and increase their insurance premiums accordingly. In the world of climate data, hyperlocalism is now the thing, which means that two houses on the same street may have different risk profiles for the same type of weather event.

If you get substantially different quotes on two properties that are nearby/in the same town, it’s worth digging into why. Chances are high that there will be a weather-related reason.

The California Property Insurance Crisis Deepens

The situation is much more dire in California, where insurers’ responses to the intensifying wildfires are increasingly extreme: They are canceling policies, refusing to issue new ones, or even exiting the state altogether. At this point, we are talking about an exodus, with these insurance companies (all subsidiaries of Kemper Corp.) announcing earlier in 2024 that they would not be renewing their California policies:

  • Merastar Insurance Co.
  • Unitrin Auto and Home Insurance Co.
  • Unitrin Direct Property and Casualty Co.
  • Kemper Independence Insurance Co. 

In the meantime, large household names like State Farm, Allstate, Farmers, USAA, and Nationwide all announced that while they would not be leaving the California market, they would be significantly limiting new homeowner policies. 

The exact implications of this overall trend vary by insurer. For example, State Farm has mainly gone down the route of not renewing the policies it perceives as risky, with 30,000 California policies affected as of 2024. In a statement from last year, the company said that  it ‘‘made this decision due to historic increases in construction costs outpacing inflation, rapidly growing catastrophe exposure, and a challenging reinsurance market.”

Other insurers, notably Farmers, are limiting new applications or drastically increasing wildfire safety standards for new applicants, which is what USAA has done. 

The California property insurance crisis is summarized by Bankrate as California homeowners ‘‘scrambling for coverage” or being ‘‘unable to find it.’’ Part of the problem is that California insurance rates have historically been lower than the national average, thanks to stringent insurance hike regulations enshrined in the Proposition 103 legislation. Under this law, insurance companies can’t raise premiums over 7% without first getting approval from California’s Department of Insurance.

What do California investors need to be aware of?

This used to be great news for homebuyers and investors: After all, who doesn’t want to pay less for their property insurance? However, as it turns out, this model works poorly for California’s ‘‘new normal’’ of wildfire risk. Insurers simply cannot afford the huge costs of repairing or rebuilding so many wildfire-damaged homes. 

All this doesn’t mean that if you were planning to invest in the California market, you necessarily need to reconsider. But it does mean that you need to tread very carefully when choosing an investment property. The easiest way to mitigate the risk of your deal falling through because you can’t find insurance is by buying a home that already meets California’s fire-hardening building codes, which have been in place since 2008. 

However, if you are buying a home in a fire-prone area that was built before 2010, the seller, by law, has to give you a written summary of an inspection report confirming whether the home meets current standards and what fire-hardening features it has. If it does not meet the standards, you have the right to refuse to close on the home.  

These are useful strategies for new investors. If you already own a property that’s near a wildfire risk area that was in a state of emergency, your insurer cannot cancel your policy for at least a year, which gives you time to explore other options.

Investors should also be aware of the fact that wildfire-related problems and risks are not confined to California, even while it continues to be the epicenter of the crisis. Pretty much the entire West Coast is now grappling with the same issues, with Oregon and Washington developing property insurance crises of their own. Other states to watch include Colorado and Montana, where intensifying wildfires are causing soaring premiums.  

Florida May Be En Route to Improvements

No other state has had it worse than Florida when it comes to the property insurance crisis. Florida has lost coverage from some 30 providers in the past few years, with over 10 going into liquidation since 2017. The difficulties Florida homeowners face when trying to find property insurance have become legendary. 

As in Midwestern states, roof damage from intensifying extreme weather events is the main factor in Florida’s insurance troubles. Of course, hurricanes are to blame for torn and destroyed roofs in Florida and parts of Louisiana rather than tornadoes or hailstorms

Many nonrenewals and cancellations we’ve seen over the past several years have cited roof age as the reason. There is new legislation on the homeowners’ side, however, which stipulates that companies cannot refuse insurance if a roof is less than 15 years old and has a life expectancy of five years at the time the policy is issued. And even if the roof is over 15 years old, if an inspector determines it has another five years, the homeowner may still be able to get coverage.

While there are signs that Florida is at least beginning to tackle its property insurance crisis with meaningful legislation, things are actually looking messier in neighboring Louisiana. This hurricane-affected state has had a unique three-year rule in place since Hurricane Katrina, which prohibits insurers from canceling or nonrenewing policies that have been in place for three years or longer. However, Louisiana has just relaxed this rule: It will not apply to policies taken out after Aug. 1, 2024. 

Technically, insurers won’t be able to cancel more than 5% of policies that are issued on homes in the same parish. In practice, however, insurers will be able to apply for permission to cancel more policies from the state insurance commissioner.

It remains to be seen how many policies will be nonrenewed or canceled, but if you are thinking about investing in southern Louisiana, you will need to be extra careful.

Final Thoughts

When we say, ‘‘be careful,’’ we mainly mean ‘‘do your research.’’ It’s much better to acquaint yourself with what’s going on in a local insurance market before just wading into it. And you need to adopt the same strategy insurers now commonly use to decide which homes are insurable. 

This strategy is granular and hyperlocal, with each home assessed individually. Remember: Even properties on the same street can have different risk profiles based on past extreme weather events. There’s a wealth of information available online about climate risk, but you should also speak to insurers directly when looking at multiple properties in a specific area.

This article is presented by Steadily

Steadily is America’s best-rated rental property insurance provider. Get coverage online in minutes for all property types and all policy durations, including short-term rentals. Visit Steadily.com to get a free quote today.

Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.

13 Real Estate Hot Spots You Won’t Want to Miss Next Year

Certain cities across the United States are emerging as economic powerhouses, creating ideal conditions for real estate investors. 

I’ve published two previous articles on cities with growing tech hubs and high income increases, both of which are highly correlated with price appreciation. Just take a look at the relationship between income and price growth for the top 100 metropolitan areas: 

Now, for the third installment in this series, I’ve decided to filter and rank each city’s economy as a whole, under the assumption that the stronger a city’s economy is, the more likely wages will rise, and with them, real estate prices.

I’ve analyzed the data, crunched the numbers, and identified 13 cities with the strongest economies that should be ripe with investment opportunities. Read on to discover where you should be looking next to maximize your returns in 2024.

How I Calculated the Top 13 Cities

First, I downloaded employment and wage data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). I also included population data from the U.S. Census Bureau. Finally, I retrieved GDP-per-MSA data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).

Next, I calculated one- and five-year growth for population, total employment, and wages for each market. I also used the population data to help create GDP-per-capita data for each city.

Then, I filtered out all cities that had population, employment, or wage decline over the past year. The most robust economies shouldn’t be declining in any of these metrics.

I also only kept metros where the five-year wage and employment growth were greater than the national median (in addition to higher-than-median GDP per capita). I thought this was a good gauge of general economic growth.

Finally, I wanted to rank the remaining metros by job growth. So I created a “relevant employment growth” index that ranked five-year percentage employment growth while still keeping size into account (a 10% increase for a city with 1 million jobs is more impressive than a 10% increase for a city with only 50,000 jobs, but including only absolute growth into an index has its own problems). 

Note: Because I used some college-level data science to create the relevant employment growth index, I’ll spare you the details. But feel free to comment if you’d like me to explain how I derived it.

After filtering, I was left with 13 U.S. cities with the best economic metrics, ranked by relevant employment growth. If you don’t see your favorite metro in the list, it’s likely because it either had less-than-stellar employment growth or had an income decline over the past year. Many metros did.

The Results

Now, let’s jump into the results, going from the least relative employment growth to the highest.

13. Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ

The Allentown, Pennsylvania MSA has undergone a renaissance in the past few decades, from a failing steel manufacturing town in the 1980s to a growing hub for established businesses and startups alike. Allentown’s economy is currently supported by distribution, financial services, and healthcare jobs and remains in close driving proximity to Philadelphia (about one hour) and New York City (about two hours).

Key economic indicators:

  • Average Wage in 2024: $56,910.88
  • Five-Year Compound Wage Growth: 4.8%
  • Total Employment in 2024: 400,600
  • Five-Year Compound Employment Growth: 1.19%
  • Unemployment Rate in 2024: 4.1%
  • GDP Per Capita as of 2022*: $53,539.79

*The most current GDP and population numbers are from 2022.

Affordability indicators:

  • Median Price in 2024: $336,043.87
  • Five-Year Compound Price Growth: 9.26%
  • Median Rent in 2024: $1,796.08
  • Five-Year Compound Rent Growth: 7.35%
  • Rent-Price Ratio: 0.53%

12. Columbia, SC

The Columbia, South Carolina MSA is supported by the University of South Carolina, Fort Jackson, and healthcare and manufacturing companies. It’s also the second-most affordable market on this list (just behind Oklahoma City), with relatively high prices and rent growth.

Key economic indicators:

  • Average Wage in 2024: $52,590.72
  • Five-Year Compound Wage Growth: 4.47%
  • Total Employment in 2024: 434,900
  • Five-Year Compound Employment Growth: 1.63%
  • Unemployment Rate in 2024: 4.7%
  • GDP Per Capita as of 2022: $53,718.41

Affordability indicators:

  • Median Price in 2024: $252,535.39
  • Five-Year Compound Price Growth: 9.16%
  • Median Rent in 2024: $1,563.14
  • Five-Year Compound Rent Growth: 7.53%
  • Rent-Price Ratio: 0.62%

11. Colorado Springs, CO

The Colorado Springs, Colorado MSA is supported by military, professional services, distribution, healthcare, and tech jobs. I think Colorado Springs is an example of a steady market that continues to show healthy growth. 

Key economic indicators:

  • Average Wage in 2024: $61,301.24
  • Five-Year Compound Wage Growth: 3.92%
  • Total Employment in 2024: 336,600
  • Five-Year Compound Employment Growth: 2.21%
  • Unemployment Rate in 2024: 4.4%
  • GDP Per Capita as of 2022: $53,998.04

Affordability indicators:

  • Median Price in 2024: $464,485.54
  • Five-Year Compound Price Growth: 7.3%
  • Median Rent in 2024: $1,904.88
  • Five-Year Compound Rent Growth: 6.12%
  • Rent-Price Ratio: 0.41%

10. Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC

The Greenville, South Carolina MSA is supported by distribution, professional services, and manufacturing jobs. It’s seen strong employment growth, particularly in the blue-collar and financial sectors.

Key economic indicators:

  • Average Wage in 2024: $58,228.04
  • Five-Year Compound Wage Growth: 5.1%
  • Total Employment in 2024: 467,200
  • Five-Year Compound Employment Growth: 1.61%
  • Unemployment Rate in 2024: 4.7%
  • GDP Per Capita as of 2022: $50,607.38

Affordability indicators:

  • Median Price in 2024: $299,935.17
  • Five-Year Compound Price Growth: 9.23%
  • Median Rent in 2024: $1,566.16
  • Five-Year Compound Rent Growth: 6.54%
  • Rent-Price Ratio: 0.52%

9. Cincinnati, OH–KY–IN

The Cincinnati MSA is supported by healthcare, financial services, and logistics jobs. But I think Columbus has the better economy of the two Ohio metros thanks to its higher employment and wage growth. Keep reading past Fayetteville, Arkansas, to see Columbus’ metrics.

Key economic indicators:

  • Average Wage in 2024: $57,448.04
  • Five-Year Compound Wage Growth: 4.21%
  • Total Employment in 2024: 1,166,200
  • Five-Year Compound Employment Growth: 0.8%
  • Unemployment Rate in 2024: 4.7%
  • GDP Per Capita as of 2022: $69,222.47

Affordability indicators:

  • Median Price in 2024: $288,937.75
  • Five-Year Compound Price Growth: 8.61%
  • Median Rent in 2024: $1,546.9
  • Five-Year Compound Rent Growth: 7.15%
  • Rent-Price Ratio: 0.54%

8. Fayetteville–Springdale–Rogers, AR

The Fayetteville, Arkansas MSA, commonly referred to as Northwest Arkansas, has an economic ecosystem supported by Walmart, Tyson Foods, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, and all the individual vendors that service these companies, comprising a healthy, growing economy. With strong job and wage growth, low unemployment, and appreciating prices, this market remains one of my top picks.

Key economic indicators:

  • Average Wage in 2024: $54,845.96
  • Five-Year Compound Wage Growth: 6.21%
  • Total Employment in 2024: 311,900
  • Five-Year Compound Employment Growth: 3.24%
  • Unemployment Rate in 2024: 3.0%
  • GDP Per Capita as of 2022: $56,074.19

Affordability indicators:

  • Median Price in 2024: $342,107.28
  • Five-Year Compound Price Growth: 10.86%
  • Median Rent in 2024: $1,612.96
  • Five-Year Compound Rent Growth: 7.51%
  • Rent-Price Ratio: 0.47%

7. Columbus, OH

The Columbus, Ohio, MSA economy is incredibly diverse and supported by government, finance, healthcare, manufacturing, and tech jobs, and has seen strong wage growth in the past few years. If the property taxes were a bit lower, this might’ve been my favorite market. At a state average of 1.59%, I believe there are a few better metros for real estate investors. But if you don’t mind that, this market has excellent fundamentals.

Key economic indicators:

  • Average Wage in 2024: $55,651.44
  • Five-Year Compound Wage Growth: 4.99%
  • Total Employment in 2024: 1,168,600
  • Five-Year Compound Employment Growth: 0.9%
  • Unemployment Rate in 2024: 4.5%
  • GDP Per Capita as of 2022: $66,834.95

Affordability indicators:

  • Median Price in 2024: $316,666.35
  • Five-Year Compound Price Growth: 8.92%
  • Median Rent in 2024: $1,568.42
  • Five-Year Compound Rent Growth: 6.3%
  • Rent-Price Ratio: 0.5%

6. Oklahoma City, OK

The Oklahoma City MSA has a growing number of professional services, healthcare, and government jobs supporting the economy. However, OKC sits in the heart of Tornado Alley, which drives up home insurance rates. According to Bankrate.com, “the average annual cost of home insurance is $4,846 for a policy with a $300,000 dwelling limit, which is 113% more than the national average cost of $2,285.” I’d prefer not to invest in a city known for its high occurrence of property-damaging weather events.

Key economic indicators:

  • Average Wage in 2024: $56,676.88
  • Five-Year Compound Wage Growth: 3.92%
  • Total Employment in 2024: 706,200
  • Five-Year Compound Employment Growth: 1.56%
  • Unemployment Rate in 2024: 3.5%
  • GDP Per Capita as of 2022: $52,153.23

Affordability indicators:

  • Median Price in 2024: $237,117.57
  • Five-Year Compound Price Growth: 7.96%
  • Median Rent in 2024: $1,365.59
  • Five-Year Compound Rent Growth: 5.66%
  • Rent-Price Ratio: 0.58%

5. Boise, ID

Boise, Idaho, has seen a large increase in employment over the years. While unlikely to grow at the same rate it did during the pandemic, the city should continue to see healthy job growth for the foreseeable future. This is a solid market for any investor who can afford it. 

Key economic indicators:

  • Average Wage in 2024: $56,876.56
  • Five-Year Compound Wage Growth: 6.74%
  • Total Employment in 2024: 408,100
  • Five-Year Compound Employment Growth: 3.42%
  • Unemployment Rate in 2024: 3.7%
  • GDP Per Capita as of 2022: $51,952.8

Affordability indicators:

  • Median Price in 2024: $480,564.72
  • Five-Year Compound Price Growth: 9.94%
  • Median Rent in 2024: $1,835.37
  • Five-Year Compound Rent Growth: 7.47%
  • Rent-Price Ratio: 0.38%

4. San Antonio–New Braunfels, TX

San Antonio, Texas, offers many military, healthcare, and professional services jobs. The area remains relatively affordable and has solid employment growth. The only thing I don’t prefer is the high property taxes (a state average of 1.68%, even higher than Ohio’s). 

Key economic indicators:

  • Average Wage in 2024: $53,292.2
  • Five-Year Compound Wage Growth: 3.74%
  • Total Employment in 2024: 1,178,000
  • Five-Year Compound Employment Growth: 1.82%
  • Unemployment Rate in 2024: 4.0%
  • GDP Per Capita as of 2022: $52,860.79

Affordability indicators:

  • Median Price in 2024: $288,944.75
  • Five-Year Compound Price Growth: 6.65%
  • Median Rent in 2024: $1,505.12
  • Five-Year Compound Rent Growth: 4.29%
  • Rent-Price Ratio: 0.52%

3. Raleigh-Cary, NC

Raleigh, North Carolina, has seen growth in healthcare, pharmaceutical, and technology employment over the years, and it doesn’t look like it’s stopping anytime soon. STEM growth drives appreciation, and the rising number of STEM jobs will likely have a positive impact on price appreciation throughout the metro area in the coming years. This is currently one of my favorite markets due to its strong fundamentals, and I can’t recommend it enough.

Key economic indicators:

  • Average Wage in 2024: $59,586.28
  • Five-Year Compound Wage Growth: 3.73%
  • Total Employment in 2024: 748,600
  • Five-Year Compound Employment Growth: 3.14%
  • Unemployment Rate in 2024: 3.8%
  • GDP Per Capita as of 2022: $70,178.38

Affordability indicators:

  • Median Price in 2024: $447,526.11
  • Five-Year Compound Price Growth: 9.35%
  • Median Rent in 2024: $1,797.17
  • Five-Year Compound Rent Growth: 5.91%
  • Rent-Price Ratio: 0.4%

2. Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

The Tampa, Florida, MSA has experienced steady growth in the healthcare, finance, insurance, and technology sectors. Overall, it’s a good market with solid fundamentals and a diverse economy. However, insurance prices are likely to continue rising, as many properties are at risk from extreme weather events. Personally, I’ll be skipping this market.

Key economic indicators:

  • Average Wage in 2024: $57,930.6
  • Five-Year Compound Wage Growth: 3.96%
  • Total Employment in 2024: 1,548,700
  • Five-Year Compound Employment Growth: 2.48%
  • Unemployment Rate in 2024: 3.8%
  • GDP Per Capita as of 2022: $57,049.28

Affordability indicators:

  • Median Price in 2024: $382,195.19
  • Five-Year Compound Price Growth: 11.03%
  • Median Rent in 2024: $2,125.23
  • Five-Year Compound Rent Growth: 8.88%
  • Rent-Price Ratio: 0.56%

1. Phoenix–Mesa–Chandler, AZ

Powered by the nation’s largest nuclear facility (Palo Verde Generating Station) and containing the largest public university in the United States (ASU), it should come as no surprise that Phoenix is a booming metropolis. What is surprising is how much the city grew relative to its already-large size. The economy is diversified, ever-growing, and one of the strongest in the country. I also grew up here and have seen its enormous growth firsthand.

But does this growth have a downside? New-build developments may slow down—the Rio Verde Foothills neighborhood outside of Scottsdale had recently experienced a crisis when it lost its water supply (don’t worry, it’s back—just with a much higher utility cost to residents). 

Will Phoenix’s growth spur more water supply crises like this? Maybe, maybe not. But it may limit the rate of suburban sprawl, which may drive up prices in existing homes as demand for housing continues. If you can afford it, now may be an ideal time to enter this market.

Key economic indicators:

  • Average Wage in 2024: $63,566.88
  • Five-Year Compound Wage Growth: 4.41%
  • Total Employment in 2024: 2,413,300
  • Five-Year Compound Employment Growth: 2.58%
  • Unemployment Rate in 2024: 3.9%
  • GDP Per Capita as of 2022: $61,450.29

Affordability indicators:

  • Median Price in 2024: $459,067.25
  • Five-Year Compound Price Growth: 10.16%
  • Median Rent in 2024: $1,884.26
  • Five-Year Compound Rent Growth: 7.61%
  • Rent-Price Ratio: 0.41%

Final Thoughts

There’s no such thing as the perfect economy. However, each of these 13 cities saw wage, job, and population growth (and GDP per capita) greater than the national median over a five-year period, which could make them excellent markets for your next investment.

Personally, after I selected my market, I used the BiggerPockets Deal Finder to help me find properties that fit my investment criteria. It might be helpful for you as well.

Find the Hottest Deals of 2024!

Uncover prime deals in today’s market with the brand new Deal Finder created just for investors like you! Snag great deals FAST with custom buy boxes, comprehensive property insights, and property projections.

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Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.

A Better Retirement After Buying Just ONE Rental (and Never FOMO-ing)

Mike Baum owns just one rental property, but this one property alone has changed his life. It’s allowed him to become such an investing expert that he’s constantly being asked for his opinion on the BiggerPockets forums, and he provides some of the most well-thought-out investing advice on the internet. So why does he have just one rental property, and why doesn’t he grow using his expertise? The answer isn’t that obvious.

You wouldn’t know it, but Mike is permanently disabled. After overworking so hard that he ended up losing his vision, he was placed on disability for the rest of his working career. This high achiever was forced to slow down and find something else that could replace his day job. Shortly after his diagnosis, he found BiggerPockets and turned a family vacation home into a short-term rental.

Now, he’s got systems and processes that help him self-manage with very few headaches, and he will probably keep this property as his one and only rental for life. Why didn’t he “FOMO” in when everyone was gobbling up real estate in 2020? Why didn’t he grow his portfolio to become the next tycoon? Mike has some clear answers for why he did what he did, and after listening to him, you might change what you want, too.

Click here to listen on Apple Podcasts.

Listen to the Podcast Here

Read the Transcript Here

Dave:
As real estate investors, there’s a question we always need to be wrestling with. Is now the right time to expand our portfolios or should we be sitting back enjoying the portfolio we have or being patient and more opportunistic about finding deals? And for a lot of people who come on the show, either as guests or hosts, the answer is that they want to always be expanding and growing and scaling. But for other investors, being content with what they have is just fine even for years at a time. And today we’re talking to an investor who has carefully weighed all the factors. He’s done the analysis, and he has chosen to keep his portfolio literally as small as he possibly can. He has only one property. It’s very successful, but he only has one and he’s very knowledgeable. He knows everything there is to know about real estate, but he’s just kept it at that one property. And I was sort of fascinated by this and I think there’s a lot that we could all learn from this guest strategy.

Dave:
Hey everyone, it’s Dave. Welcome to the BiggerPockets podcast. Every Monday we like to start our week off by featuring a member of the BiggerPockets community and hearing about their investing journey. And today we’re hearing from an investor named Mike Baum. And fun fact, Mike is actually one of BiggerPockets communities top forum contributors. He has spent over 10,000 hours on biggerpockets.com posting and helping fellow investors learn about real estate. So if you’re a frequent visitor to our website, you’ve probably seen his name pop up, but Mike has a lot to share on top of just what he does for the community already. And in today’s episode, I’m going to talk to Mike about how an unexpected life change for Mike and a serious one started his journey in real estate. We’ll talk about how he selected his preferred strategy of short-term rentals and also why Mike has chosen to keep his portfolio small and how not investing can be an active and strategic decision. And this is going to be a great episode because I think it provides a really helpful and interesting counter narrative to what we hear most commonly in the real estate investing industry. And I get it. Not everyone wants to stay small, not everyone wants to scale, but I think it’s really beneficial for all of us to learn from people who are doing something a little bit different. And Mike fits that bill perfectly. So let’s bring ’em on. Mike, welcome to the show. Thanks for being here.

Speaker 2:
Thanks for having me, guys.

Dave:
Well, I am very curious to hear about your journey. And so let’s just start with your career. Prior to becoming a real estate investor, what were you up to?

Speaker 2:
So I was a engineer at Intel for 19 years. I was a product owner and what they call a technical marketing guy. So what I did was work with our IBM or Lenovo with some of those platforms and help them integrate our technology and supported our field sales staff. Plus I did demonstrations all over the country on stage and show prep and did shows and stuff like that. And then I did a ton of videos and how-tos and wrote a ton of technical documents. So that was my gig. Wow.

Speaker 2:
Yeah, and I did that until 2011 when I had a huge undertaking, was working 70 hours a week. I actually slept in the couch in our lab, just go, go, go, go, go to get a product launch completed. And then one morning I woke up and I couldn’t see. The next morning I could see, but I had one eye pointing up this way and one eye pointing this way, and it was a sixth and a third cranial nerve palsy. So that was the first indication. The stress of the work had put me over the edge. So basically Intel put me on disability short term, and then after about a year of, there was no improvement. There never really is in neurological degeneration. You can kind of arrest it as much as you can, but you can’t bring it back to where it was. So they put me on full-time disability, and that’s been 13 years now.

Dave:
Well, I’m sorry to hear that. It sounds like quite an ordeal. So did that mean you were left without an income after all that?

Speaker 2:
Yep. For me, yes. I mean, it’s not that we didn’t have any income. Intel has a very good taking care of their employees, so there’s a good solid long-term disability plan. And of course it requires that I sign up for Social security disability, which I did. So yeah, I’m on disability. It was a pretty drastic income reduction. My wife is working, so that is good. So it’s not like we’re broke, but we certainly went from upper middle class to middle class, I guess you could say. We were never rich,

Dave:
I’m sure is a change financially, but just emotionally and psychologically, that’s a big just life shift to being someone who’s working really hard to having to manage your output in a more concerted way At this point. Is that when you discovered real estate or started thinking about real

Speaker 2:
Estate? We’ve had a few rental houses we’ve bought and sold some stuff over time. Our vacation rental is located in Coeur d’Alene, Idaho on Lake Coeur d’Alene. And I’ve always wanted to have, I grew up there, always wanted to have a lake house, and a bunch of things kind of lined up for us to be able to afford to buy this house on the lake. And it was a way for us to replace because not contributing to retirement any longer because they have no way in normal ways. There are certain ways, but for the most part it’s very difficult when you’re on disability. You don’t have an actual earned income anymore, so you got to do something for retirement. So I figured, and initially we were not going to rent the house. We weren’t going to do a short-term rental. And basically BiggerPockets is what turned me all around to that. I have three kids, we have three kids and we have three grandkids now. So we figured, oh, we’ll have this lake house and we can go and I’ll hang out there. But I came to realize it’s going to sit empty 80% of the time. It’s eight hour drive from where we’re at to get there. It’s not something you can just kind of bop on over. And traveling with grandkids is certainly not easy for their age.

Speaker 2:
Pick up, pack up and drive eight hours across the state to get there. It’s easier now that they’re older, but back then they were very young. What year was this? 2017.

Dave:
Okay. So you, for a while after your diagnosis had got into real estate, it took a couple of years for you to start.

Speaker 2:
Yeah, well, we had a couple of long-term rentals we had sold.

Dave:
Okay.

Speaker 2:
Yeah. So I mean, it’s not that we were completely green, but never really looked at short-term rentals in 2017. It was kind of, that wasn’t to say the wild, wild west of short-term rentals, but it was a different world than it is today. So I mean, I got to get to know Luke Carl and Avery Carl on BiggerPockets. We joined, I think I joined a little after they did. And I started hanging out on the BiggerPockets short-term rental forum and was reading everything I possibly could about doing this. And we were a little nervous. I mean, when you, you’re first thinking about doing a short-term rental, you have this asset, I was like, you’re basically handing the keys over. It’s not a 1973 Toyota Corona, you’re letting your buddy borrow. It’s a whole house sitting on the lake filled with furniture. And when we got started, the house was completely empty, so we had to furnish it and get it all ready to go. And that took a long time. Not really that long, but it’s an expense and trying to figure it all out. But if it wasn’t for BiggerPockets, I don’t think I would’ve done it.

Dave:
Well, we’re glad to hear that and you’ve paid us back in spades because as I mentioned at the top of the show, Mike is one of the most prolific members of the BiggerPockets Forum communities, which we greatly appreciate. You’re always in there answering people’s questions. We got to take a quick break, but stick around because later in the show Mike’s going to explain why he’s almost immune to fomo or fear of missing out, and it’s super interesting. So stick around. We’re back with investor Mike ba. So what was the learning curve like you, because I imagine going from being in product development and software engineering, are there overlaps between that and managing a short-term rental?

Speaker 2:
There is because 50% of my job at least, was creating processes for people that needed to understand how to implement our technology. So you really just take that and you apply it to processes for short-term rental. I’m a huge believer in self-management of your short-term rental, but you have to have all your ducks in a row. You have to have everything working. You have to make sure your maintenance schedule is on right, on the money because the last thing you want is this X, Y, or Z breaking down. So all your hard systems need to have steady maintenance. You need to hire the right people to be a handy person to come over and take care of something. So you have to have somebody there. You have to have a top notch cleaner. And sometimes it’s going to take a while. I’ve been through four cleaners since we started.

Dave:
That’s actually not that bad. I think I’ve been through way more.

Speaker 2:
It isn’t that bad considering we’re really rural. I mean, we are 36 miles down the lake from Coeur over an hour to drive down there. And it’s a tiny little town, and there’s very few professionals of this kind. There’s another town about 18 miles farther south called St. Mary’s that has some, but the cleaner comes all the way from Coeur d’Alene. It’s a whole day job for her to drive down there, clean the whole house, top to bottom, do all the laundry, and then drive back. So that’s always a key, but getting all everything in place and all the processes in place, once those are running, then management becomes a lot easier. I’m a huge believer in personal communication with the guests. I don’t rely on automated communication. I don’t rely on bots of any kind to answer things. Somebody asks a question, does an inquiry on Airbnb or VRBO, I’m the guy who answers the question. I give them my personal cell phone number that they can get ahold of me anytime and I can count on one hand the amount of times I’ve been contacted for problems.

Dave:
Really?

Speaker 2:
Yeah. It’s been seven years.

Dave:
Is that because the house is just in great condition or you find great guests?

Speaker 2:
Both. I think I vet every guest. We do not have auto book turned on for anybody. Everybody has to talk to me and I got to get a feel for they are. We get a lot of fake bookings.

Dave:
Really.

Speaker 2:
Hi, this is Steve. We are looking at staying at your house. Are these dates available? You can almost hear it and it’s obvious the dates are available. We had one just come in the other day, November 1st through the 26th. I’m like, wow, that’d be a great booking. I’ve only had two bookings that long ever that were real, but I knew right away because of the wording. And then it takes them about a week and a half to get back to me when I say Yes, great. My wife and I and kids are going to be going on a vacation and my business is going to be paying for it. Can I please send you this fake third party out of country check?

Dave:
Oh gosh,

Speaker 2:
Give me all your personal information so we can make this happen. Yay. And you’re like, Nope, only work through the tool. I only take payments through the tool. Sorry. And then they disappear.

Dave:
Good for you. I mean, it sounds like you’ve got some really good systems in place. I want to take a step back quickly though, because you’re sort of in your timeline. You bought this house for personal use, you found BiggerPockets, and I think one of the common challenges that a lot of our audience hears is how long do you research and learn before just jumping in? Was it quick for you to just start renting it out or are you more the type that spent a lot of time educating yourself prior to, like you said, handing over the keys to this very valuable asset to people you’ve never met before?

Speaker 2:
Right. So analysis paralysis is probably the biggest hurdle for most folks who have never done anything like this before. It is a gigantic expense for most people, and it’s a real risk and roll of the dice. So both sides of that, what you just stated, because I am not risk averse, but I plan, plan, plan. If you fail to plan, plan to fail a L, you look at everything, you read everything. And I had an advantage being disabled. I basically had time so I could learn everything there was to learn. And being more technical minded, it basically allows me to get a better understanding of the way finance is supposed to work and how insurance is going to play out. I have a couple of algorithms that I have written that hunt the web that are for data that that’s why I can post Mike’s deals of the day because I scrub, I can scrub the internet on my own and find stuff that takes a while to become public to everybody else. That’s why BiggerPockets is, and I hate to keep coming back to that. I’m not trying to be a shill for BiggerPockets here, but that forum is so valuable because there’s so many of us on there that have done this and been doing it. And if you have a question, I can answer that question or John Underwood could answer that question or a dozen other people can answer that question.

Dave:
Well, first of all, Mike, if you want to be a shill for BiggerPockets, you’re in the right place. This is the one podcast you’re probably allowed to shill BiggerPockets as much as you want. We really appreciate it. But just so everyone knows, what Mike is talking about is a completely free resource to everyone. The forums are free. If you want to learn something about real estate, go ask a question. I think there are a lot of people who listen to this podcast who don’t even know these forums. Go check it out, ask a question, go see what other questions people are asking. I promise you’re going to learn something. And I think you’re right, Mike, I wanted to just get back to this idea of finding the right balance between preparation and fear. Everyone’s going to have some fear. That’s just a normal part of it, but you have to find the right level and the right way to cut it off and say, educating myself is not going to help me anymore once I’ve spent dozens or hundreds of hours, whatever it is, learning and reading, listening to the podcast at a certain point, you just sort of have to jump in.

Dave:
And it sounds like you did that and were you successful right away or did it take a while for your business to

Speaker 2:
It’s going to take a while.

Dave:
Yeah.

Speaker 2:
How long? The first year was lean, we lost money the first year because I was a little hesitant. We’re getting the house set up, we’re filling the house with all kinds of new stuff and I want to make sure that it works. I went through two different types of sheets before settled on a sheet brand that worked really, really well because the first one, really soft, super nice satine weave sheets that the first person with heels that were kind of needed some work on because they wear sandals all the time, pour the heck out of the sheets.

Dave:
Oh

Speaker 2:
Gosh. They were peeled up. You wouldn’t believe. So I had to toss ’em out after one stay, things like that. So your first year, anybody who’s going to do a short-term rental, your first year is probably going to be on the lean side. My area has got low saturation on Lake Coeur. There are not a lot of places for rent on the lake. I have dozens of people in competition, not thousands. So I price everything accordingly. But even then you can have a rough year. So you just really never a hundred percent all the analysis and all your thoughts and air DNA and the enemy method and going through and comparing everything, trying to set your prices and figuring out your occupancy and making sure you have the right amenities and the right stuff in the house isn’t a guarantee that you’re just going to knock it out of the park. So you have to go into it with a understanding that this is something that you could do less than break even. But like anything, no risk, no reward.

Dave:
Absolutely. And it sounds like, Mike, you got it together pretty quickly, I mean relatively quickly and in 2017, and by all accounts, from what we’ve talked about, you’ve run a successful short-term rental business. But one of the main reasons I was so excited to talk to you, Mike, is that you are clearly very passionate about real estate and about short-term rentals. You’re on the forums all the time. I can hear it in your voice, but you’ve also chosen not to scale your portfolio. You have one short-term rental and you’re happy with that. Tell me why you’ve made that decision.

Speaker 2:
So we have tried to buy a few other places. Unfortunately, as the farther down the road after Covid is when we started really starting to look well, the interest rates went nuts, and that was crazy. And property values went up and property values in an area where we were choosing to do our investing in Idaho, shot through the roof. I mean, it was one of the highest in the country.

Dave:
Oh yeah. I mean, if forever everyone listening, if you’re not aware, places like Quarter Boise just had some of the fastest appreciation in the whole country, was kind of going crazy during that time. But Idaho might’ve been the epicenter. Idaho and Austin I think were the two places that were just booming even more than the rest of the country. So sorry to interrupt, but go ahead,

Speaker 2:
Matt. No, no, that’s okay. Yeah, absolutely. Our house, our lake house is worth four times what we paid for it now.

Dave:
Oh my God. In seven years.

Speaker 2:
Yeah.

Dave:
So yeah, why buy poor if you’re doing it that well with your first one?

Speaker 2:
Well, we’ve looked at other places, did a scouting trip down to Sedona, Arizona, looking around there. We went out to New Mexico, angel Fire, looked at some things like that and all of it. We liked all of it, but unfortunately the places that we liked the best ended up either selling before we even got home, started talking about it, or they got pulled off the market or there was various different reasons. We took out a pretty good size HELOC on our primary, so we have cash for down payment and to get the house all prepped, and now we’re kind of in a holding pattern, but we found a place out on the ocean that we were looking at. It was a successful short-term rental. It was doing pretty well, and we were ready to pull the trigger on. It needed some updating, but we were ready for that.

Speaker 2:
And then the people pulled it off the market. That was late last year, so we looked at a couple other places, one in Coeur d’Alene, it was on the pond, Dorey River, which is a major inflow into Lake Pond Dorey, which is an enormous lake north of where we’re at. And it was beautiful. It was great. And they pulled it off the market as well. So it’s not that we don’t want to expand it, but now we’re getting to the point where my wife’s going to retire in a couple of years, and we started kind of late in life in this particular game. So had we known more earlier, I think we would’ve done better. If you’re younger, I think there’s a lot more, still going to be a lot more opportunity moving forward. It’s a more sophisticated market now than it was seven, eight years ago.

Dave:
All right. We got to take a pause for some ads, but we’ll back this week’s investor story on the other side. Let’s get back to the show. Has it been hard, Mike, to be patient? So much has gone on in the last couple of years. Is it like to take the patient approach?

Speaker 2:
Well, you know what? I’m not really much of a FOMO guy. Fear of missing out. It happens on occasion that I get frustrated, but for the most part, I look at it like, well, you know what? It just wasn’t meant to be, so I’m not going to worry about it. I’m just going to move on and see what else I find. I still scan. I spend actually a lot of time on Craigslist looking at buy owner stuff and what people have been trying to sell. I’ve been driving around North Idaho quite a bit, down back roads, seeing if there’s something interesting, just kind of floating around and I’ll write an address down and nothing’s popped up. But if you get mad and try to jump on every single deal that comes along, it’s going to bite you, in my opinion. Eventually it’s going to bite you. You really got to watch that.

Dave:
And what do you attribute that lack of FOMO to? I mean, I think it takes confidence, right? To not be jealous or running, chasing every little shiny object. How do you stay disciplined?

Speaker 2:
Well, I would have to say that it’s easier for me being someone who is older than, I mean most of the investors that come in that are asking questions, they’re in their twenties, twenties and early thirties, husband and wife or a single person trying to get started. They liked the idea of short-term rentals, and when I was younger, I was probably way more aggressive than I would be. Now, we have to plan for retirement. We can’t be, you have that looming over your head the entire time. Do I sit there and I just take $200,000 and put it down on black? Because sometimes you feel like that’s what you’re doing. You’re putting it all on black

Speaker 2:
Hoping that it’s going to pay out in the end. Now, it’s not like that, but every real estate deal is a bit of a gamble. You can plan and you can get processed. You can do all kinds of things, and you could still lose and nobody wants to lose. We saw a lot of that in the last few years. I think things have evened out now. So experience and just life experience in general and seeing things come and go and come and go, and your life isn’t worse because you didn’t jump on this or you didn’t jump on that. I mean, I don’t spend a lot of time kicking myself in the butt for not buying Apple at $25.

Dave:
Right? Yeah. That wasn’t the part of life you were in

Speaker 2:
Right at that time. I just don’t think about it. We get quite a few young folks coming in. They want to do short-term rentals. Off the bat, they’re single. And my to every young investor wanting to get started is to not do short-term rentals.

Dave:
Oh, really? Why is that?

Speaker 2:
Well, because there are better options to build a base off of.

Speaker 2:
There was one young guy, he’s 19, he’s in the military. He’s going to be able to take advantage of VA loans, and he wants to get into short-term rentals once he gets out in about three years. And I told him, what you should really do is take advantage of the VA loan. Or for those who don’t have access to VA loan, it would be FHA low down 3% down loans. Buy a duplex, buy a triplex, buy a fourplex, right? You buy something like that, you live in one and you have three renters. You do some minor rehab. You do it after a year, you have to live in the place for a year. Then you basically exit the place, rent that last unit, and then do it all over again. You have to convert that one FHA loan to a conventional, you refinance. Then you move over here and you do it again, and then you do it again, and maybe one more time.

Speaker 2:
And now you’ve got duplexes, triplexes, and fourplexes, all of them producing all of them, income producing for you, maybe 10, 15, 20% at this point. After doing it for a few years, maybe you have one that’s paid off. You have all these assets that form this really, really nice piece of bedrock that you can build the rest. So if you’re young, you don’t have kids, you can move every couple of years or every other year or whatever without dragging a whole family and changing school districts and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. Then that’s what I would do. And then once you do four or five years of that, then you can start looking at some other things.

Dave:
You’re speaking my language. I mean, that’s sort of what I did is just started with long-term rentals. And over time I’ve branched out. I started investing in syndications. I do some private lending. Now you do some different stuff, but I feel comfortable taking risk because I have a solid portfolio of low risk, high performing assets. And not all of them were amazing when I first bought them, but I bought 10, 15 years ago. And that’s the beauty of real estate is over time you hold onto these things, they perform.

Speaker 2:
Yep.

Dave:
Well, Mike, I want to just say thank you because I have only been hosting this podcast for a few months, but I’ve been a member of the BiggerPockets community for a long time, an employee for a long time. And it’s honestly, people like you who choose to share their time and share their knowledge with people for free out of the goodness of their heart, that it’s made the community so strong. So I just wanted to personally thank you. Thanks. So last question, Mike, what are you excited about in the short-term rental or real estate industry right now?

Speaker 2:
I think there’s a lot of opportunity to be had, unfortunately, at the expense of folks that were overzealous in their FOMO purchases of short-term rentals. I guess you could say. Sometimes you can almost feel the desperation of some folks just to get out from underneath that mortgage because they bought high at the top of the market. Their interest rate is crazy. Interest rates are starting to drop. I think we’re going to see a couple more drops in the next few months. I think it’s going to be a very interesting 2025.

Dave:
Yeah, likewise. Well, Mike, thank you so much for sharing your story and your insights with it. We really appreciate it. And if you want to connect with Mike, we’ll put his contact information, but just go check out the BiggerPockets forums. You’ll see him all over the BiggerPockets community. Thanks again, Mike.

Speaker 2:
Thank you. Have a good day guys.

Watch the Episode Here

https://youtube.com/watch?v=YfCudmjIFhE

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In This Episode We Cover:

  • Why you DON’T need a large real estate portfolio to find financial success when investing
  • Why Mike tells beginner investors that they should NOT buy a short-term rental property
  • The systems and processes Mike made to automate his vacation rental self-management (so he works less!)
  • One thing you should do NOW before you start investing in real estate (it’s free!)
  • The real result of “FOMO” investing and how to stop shiny object syndrome from blowing you off course
  • And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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Note By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of BiggerPockets.